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E-mail Message: I thought you might be interested in this item at http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/71833470 Title: The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable Author: Nassim Taleb Publisher: New York : Random House, ©2007. ISBN/ISSN: 9781400063512 1400063515 OCLC:71833470

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The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable

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The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable

Author:	Nassim Taleb
Publisher:	New York : Random House, ©2007.
Edition/Format:	Book : English : 1st edView all editions and formats
Summary:	Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
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Document Type:	Book
All Authors / Contributors:	Nassim Taleb Find more information about:
ISBN:	9781400063512 1400063515
OCLC Number:	71833470
Description:	xxviii, 366 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Contents:	Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans.
Responsibility:	Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

Abstract:

Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.

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