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The Afghanistan question and the reset in U.S.-Russian relations

Author: Richard J Krickus; Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute.
Publisher: Carlisle, PA : Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, [2011]
Series: Letort papers, no. 52.
Edition/Format:   Print book : National government publication : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Introduction -- The American skeptics -- Russian skeptics -- The American rationale -- The Russian rationale -- The study's objectives -- Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. The decision to invade -- Escalation -- Bringing the Red Army home -- What was happening? -- The U.S. reaction -- The end -- The failure to create a stable post-Soviet government and civil war. The United Nations proposal -- Why the proposal failed
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Additional Physical Format: Online version:
Krickus, Richard J.
Afghanistan question and the reset in U.S.--Russian relations.
Carlisle, PA : Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, [2011]
(OCoLC)758487406
Material Type: Government publication, National government publication, Internet resource
Document Type: Book, Internet Resource
All Authors / Contributors: Richard J Krickus; Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute.
ISBN: 9781584875130 1584875135
OCLC Number: 761731009
Notes: "October 2011."
Description: xii, 159 pages ; 23 cm.
Contents: Summary --
Introduction --
The American skeptics --
Russian skeptics --
The American rationale --
The Russian rationale --
The study's objectives --
Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. The decision to invade --
Escalation --
Bringing the Red Army home --
What was happening? --
The U.S. reaction --
The end --
The failure to create a stable post-Soviet government and civil war. The United Nations proposal --
Why the proposal failed --
Washington's and Moscow's failure --
The Taliban and Osama bin Laden. The origins of the Taliban --
Osama bin Laden --
The United States acknowledges bin Laden as a threat --
9/11 and war against the Taliban and Al-Qaeda. The September 2001 terrorist attacks --
Routing the jihadists --
The Karzai government --
Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda : an assessment --
A partial victory --
Three scenarios. The existing situation or plan A : an unstable but viable Afghanistan through COIN --
The insurgency --
The Karzai government --
Security forces --
The civilian-economic component --
Declining support for the war within the United States --
Pakistan --
Plan B : partition --
A Taliban victory --
The global jihadists prevail --
The Taliban return to power with a national agenda --
The Russian response --
Countering Afghan narcotics --
The struggle over Manas --
The northern distribution network --
Central Asia and the North Caucasus --
Concluding remarks and recommendations. Identifying the enemy : a civil war within Islam --
Making room for the rest --
The American malaise --
Sticking to the 2014 Afghanistan exit schedule --
Preparing for Bonn II --
Plan B : partition --
Preparing for the worst case scenario (Plan C) : a Taliban victory --
Confronting Pakistan --
The time has come to reduce our profile in the Middle East --
Sustaining and enlarging security cooperation with Russia.
Series Title: Letort papers, no. 52.
Other Titles: Afghanistan question and the reset in US-Russian relations
Afghanistan question and the reset in United States-Russian relations
Responsibility: Richard J. Krickus.

Abstract:

Introduction -- The American skeptics -- Russian skeptics -- The American rationale -- The Russian rationale -- The study's objectives -- Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. The decision to invade -- Escalation -- Bringing the Red Army home -- What was happening? -- The U.S. reaction -- The end -- The failure to create a stable post-Soviet government and civil war. The United Nations proposal -- Why the proposal failed -- Washington's and Moscow's failure -- The Taliban and Osama bin Laden. The origins of the Taliban -- Osama bin Laden -- The United States acknowledges bin Laden as a threat -- 9/11 and war against the Taliban and Al-Qaeda. The September 2001 terrorist attacks -- Routing the jihadists -- The Karzai government -- Osama bin Laden and al-Qaeda : an assessment -- A partial victory -- Three scenarios. The existing situation or plan A : an unstable but viable Afghanistan through COIN -- The insurgency -- The Karzai government -- Security forces -- The civilian-economic component -- Declining support for the war within the United States -- Pakistan -- Plan B : partition -- A Taliban victory -- The global jihadists prevail -- The Taliban return to power with a national agenda -- The Russian response -- Countering Afghan narcotics -- The struggle over Manas -- The northern distribution network -- Central Asia and the North Caucasus -- Concluding remarks and recommendations. Identifying the enemy : a civil war within Islam -- Making room for the rest -- The American malaise -- Sticking to the 2014 Afghanistan exit schedule -- Preparing for Bonn II -- Plan B : partition -- Preparing for the worst case scenario (Plan C) : a Taliban victory -- Confronting Pakistan -- The time has come to reduce our profile in the Middle East -- Sustaining and enlarging security cooperation with Russia.

The ability of the United States and Russia to cooperate in Afghanistan represents a solid test of their reset in relations. The author provides the historical background to the Afghanistan Question and assesses current events in the Afghan war with three objectives in mind: 1) to determine whether Russian-American cooperation in Afghanistan has been successful; 2) to identify and evaluate the successes and failures of the counterinsurgency strategy as the transition from U.S. to Afghanistan authority gains traction in the 2011-14 time frame; and 3) to provide conclusions and recommendations bearing on developments in Afghanistan.

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