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Anticipating surprise : analysis for strategic warning

Author: Cynthia M Grabo; Jan Goldman; Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (U.S.)
Publisher: [Washington, D.C.?] : Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, Joint Military Intelligence College, [2002]
Edition/Format:   Print book : National government publication : EnglishView all editions and formats
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Additional Physical Format: Online version:
Grabo, Cynthia M.
Anticipating surprise.
[Washington, D.C.?] : Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, Joint Military Intelligence College, [2002]
(OCoLC)784660725
Material Type: Government publication, National government publication
Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Cynthia M Grabo; Jan Goldman; Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (U.S.)
ISBN: 0965619567 9780965619561
OCLC Number: 52044374
Notes: Shipping list no.: 2003-0160-P.
Description: x, 175 pages ; 23 cm
Contents: The role of warning intelligence --
Introduction to the analytical method --
Military indications and warning --
Political factors for warning --
Warning from the totality of evidence --
Surprise and timing --
The problem of deception --
Judgments and policy --
Improving warning assessments: some conclusions.
Responsibility: Cynthia M. Grabo ; edited by Jan Goldman with a foreword by Lieutenant General James A. Williams.

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