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Anticipating surprise : analysis for strategic warning

Autor: Cynthia M Grabo; Jan Goldman; Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (U.S.)
Editora: [Washington, D.C.?] : Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, Joint Military Intelligence College, [2002]
Edição/Formato   Print book : Publicação de governo nacional : InglêsVer todas as edições e formatos
Base de Dados:WorldCat
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Formato Físico Adicional: Online version:
Grabo, Cynthia M.
Anticipating surprise.
[Washington, D.C.?] : Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, Joint Military Intelligence College, [2002]
(OCoLC)784660725
Tipo de Material: Publicação do governo, Publicação de governo nacional
Tipo de Documento: Livro
Todos os Autores / Contribuintes: Cynthia M Grabo; Jan Goldman; Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (U.S.)
ISBN: 0965619567 9780965619561
Número OCLC: 52044374
Notas: Shipping list no.: 2003-0160-P.
Descrição: x, 175 pages ; 23 cm
Conteúdos: The role of warning intelligence --
Introduction to the analytical method --
Military indications and warning --
Political factors for warning --
Warning from the totality of evidence --
Surprise and timing --
The problem of deception --
Judgments and policy --
Improving warning assessments: some conclusions.
Responsabilidade: Cynthia M. Grabo ; edited by Jan Goldman with a foreword by Lieutenant General James A. Williams.

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