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Anticipating surprise : analysis for strategic warning

著者: Cynthia M Grabo; Jan Goldman; Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (U.S.)
出版商: [Washington, D.C.?] : Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, Joint Military Intelligence College, [2002]
版本/格式:   图书 : 国家级的政府刊物 : 英语
数据库:WorldCat
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附加的形体格式: Online version:
Grabo, Cynthia M.
Anticipating surprise.
[Washington, D.C.?] : Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, Joint Military Intelligence College, [2002]
(OCoLC)784660725
材料类型: 政府刊物, 国家级的政府刊物
文件类型:
所有的著者/提供者: Cynthia M Grabo; Jan Goldman; Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (U.S.)
ISBN: 0965619567 9780965619561
OCLC号码: 52044374
注意: Shipping list no.: 2003-0160-P.
描述: x, 175 p. ; 23 cm.
内容: The role of warning intelligence --
Introduction to the analytical method --
Military indications and warning --
Political factors for warning --
Warning from the totality of evidence --
Surprise and timing --
The problem of deception --
Judgments and policy --
Improving warning assessments: some conclusions.
责任: Cynthia M. Grabo ; edited by Jan Goldman with a foreword by Lieutenant General James A. Williams.

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