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Anticipating surprise : analysis for strategic warning

作者: Cynthia M Grabo; Jan Goldman; Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (U.S.)
出版商: [Washington, D.C.?] : Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, Joint Military Intelligence College, [2002]
版本/格式:   圖書 : 國家級的政府刊物 : 英語所有版本和格式的總覽
資料庫:WorldCat
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Grabo, Cynthia M.
Anticipating surprise.
[Washington, D.C.?] : Center for Strategic Intelligence Research, Joint Military Intelligence College, [2002]
(OCoLC)784660725
資料類型: 政府刊物, 國家級的政府刊物
文件類型: 圖書
所有的作者/貢獻者: Cynthia M Grabo; Jan Goldman; Center for Strategic Intelligence Research (U.S.)
ISBN: 0965619567 9780965619561
OCLC系統控制編碼: 52044374
注意: Shipping list no.: 2003-0160-P.
描述: x, 175 pages ; 23 cm
内容: The role of warning intelligence --
Introduction to the analytical method --
Military indications and warning --
Political factors for warning --
Warning from the totality of evidence --
Surprise and timing --
The problem of deception --
Judgments and policy --
Improving warning assessments: some conclusions.
責任: Cynthia M. Grabo ; edited by Jan Goldman with a foreword by Lieutenant General James A. Williams.

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