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The art of the long view : planning for the future in an uncertain world

Author: Peter Schwartz
Publisher: New York : Currency Doubleday, 1995.
Edition/Format:   Book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life - bottom-line numbers, for instance - but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories - scenarios - and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles. In The Art of the Long View, now for the first time  Read more...
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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Peter Schwartz
ISBN: 0385267320 9780385267328
OCLC Number: 221812264
Notes: Originally published in 1991.
Later edition (1996) published under a different title: Art of the long view : paths to strategic insight for yourself and your company.
Description: xvi, 272 p. ; 24 cm.
Contents: Introduction to the Paperback Edition: The Strategic Conversation - Broadening The Long View --
The Pathfinder's Tale --
The Smith & Hawken Story: The Process of Scenario-Building --
The Scenario-Building Animal --
Uncovering the Decision --Information-Hunting and -Gathering --
Creating Scenario Building Blocks --
Anatomy of a New Driving Force: The Global Teenager --
Composing a Plot --
The World in 2005: Three Scenarios --
Rehearsing the Future --
Epilogue: To My Newborn Son --
Afterword: The Value of a Strategic Conversation --
User's Guide: How to Hold a Strategic Conversation --
Appendix: Steps to Developing Scenarios.
Other Titles: Art of the long view : paths to strategic insight for yourself and your company.
Responsibility: Peter Schwartz.

Abstract:

What increasingly affects all of us, whether professional planners or individuals preparing for a better future, is not the tangibles of life - bottom-line numbers, for instance - but the intangibles: our hopes and fears, our beliefs and dreams. Only stories - scenarios - and our ability to visualize different kinds of futures adequately capture these intangibles. In The Art of the Long View, now for the first time in paperback and with the addition of an all-new User's Guide, Peter Schwartz outlines the "scenaric" approach, giving you the tools for developing a strategic vision within your business. Schwartz describes the new techniques, originally developed within Royal/Dutch Shell, based on many of his firsthand scenario exercises with the world's leading institutions and companies, including the White House, EPA, BellSouth, PG & E, and the International Stock Exchange.

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