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Assessing the potential impact on poverty of rising cereals prices : the case of Mali

Author: George Joseph; Quentin Wodon
Publisher: Washington, DC World Bank, Human Development Network, Development Dialogue on Values and Ethics Oct. 2008
Series: Policy research working paper, 4744
Edition/Format:   Computer file : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
"Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from an increase in prices) and food consumers (who loose out when the price increases), with a focus on poor producers and consumers. In Mali the impact of a change in the  Read more...
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Material Type: Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: George Joseph; Quentin Wodon
OCLC Number: 836982696
Description: Online-Ressource, [37] S., Text graph. Darst.
Series Title: Policy research working paper, 4744
Responsibility: George Joseph; Quentin Wodon

Abstract:

"Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from an increase in prices) and food consumers (who loose out when the price increases), with a focus on poor producers and consumers. In Mali the impact of a change in the price of rice is not ambiguous because about half of the rice consumed in the country is imported, so that the negative impact for consumers is much larger than the positive impact for producers. By contrast, for millet and sorghum, as well as corn, the impact is more ambiguous since much of the consumption is locally produced. Using a recent and comprehensive household survey, this paper provides an assessment of the potential impact of higher food prices on the poor in Mali using both simple statistical analysis and non-parametric methods. The paper finds that rising food prices for rice, millet and sorghum, corn, as well as wheat and bread could together lead to a substantial increase in poverty, with the increase in the price of rice having by far the largest negative impact. "--World Bank web site

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