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Chances are-- : adventures in probability

Author: Michael Kaplan; Ellen Kaplan
Publisher: New York, N.Y. : Penguin Books, 2007.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
A layman's journey into the realm of probability. We search for certainty, but find only likelihood. All things are possible, only one thing actually happens; everything else is in the realm of probability. The twin disciplines of probability and statistics underpin every modern science and sketch the shape of all purposeful group activity--politics, economics, medicine, law, sports--giving humans a handle on the  Read more...
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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Michael Kaplan; Ellen Kaplan
ISBN: 9780143038344 0143038346
OCLC Number: 84898704
Notes: Originally published: Viking, 2006.
Includes index.
Description: 319 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Contents: Thinking --
Discovering --
Elaborating --
Gambling --
Securing --
Figuring --
Healing --
Judging --
Predicting --
Fighting --
Being.
Responsibility: Michael Kaplan and Ellen Kaplan.

Abstract:

A layman's journey into the realm of probability. We search for certainty, but find only likelihood. All things are possible, only one thing actually happens; everything else is in the realm of probability. The twin disciplines of probability and statistics underpin every modern science and sketch the shape of all purposeful group activity--politics, economics, medicine, law, sports--giving humans a handle on the essential uncertainty of their existence. Yet while we are all aware of the hard facts, most of us still refuse to take account of probability--preferring to drive, not fly; buying into market blips; smoking cigarettes; denying we will ever age. There are some people, though--gamblers, risk buyers, forensic experts, doctors, strategists--who find probability's mass of incomplete uncertainties delightful and revelatory. This book is their story.--From publisher description.

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