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China's economy in transition : from external to internal rebalancing

Author: Anoop Singh; Malhar Nabar; Papa M'B P N'Diaye; International Monetary Fund.
Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2013.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
China's current account surplus has declined to around a quarter of its pre-crisis peak. While this is a major reduction in China's external imbalance, it has not been accompanied by a decisive shift toward consumption based growth. Instead, the compression in the external surplus has been accomplished through fixed investment rising even higher as a share of the national economy. The heavy reliance on investment  Read more...
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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Anoop Singh; Malhar Nabar; Papa M'B P N'Diaye; International Monetary Fund.
ISBN: 1484303938 9781484303931
OCLC Number: 854944134
Description: xi, 279 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm
Contents: Machine generated contents note: pt. I A SHIFT IN FOCUS: FROM EXTERNAL TO INTERNAL IMBALANCES --
1. An End to China's Imbalances? / Nathan Porter --
2. Investment in China: Too Much of a Good Thing? / Liu Xueyan --
3. China's Rapid Investment, Potential Output, and Output Gap / Steven Barnett --
4. Determinants of Corporate Investment in China: Evidence from Cross-Country Firm-Level Data / Papa N'Diaye --
5. Interest Rates, Targets, and Household Saving in Urban China / Malhar Nabar --
pt. II IMPLICATIONS FOR CHINA'S TRADING PARTNERS --
6. Implications for Asia from Rebalancing in China / Olaf Unteroberdoerster --
7. Investment-Led Growth in China: Global Spillovers / Malhar Nabar --
8. The Spillover Effects of a Downturn in China's Real Estate Investment / Alia Myrvoda --
pt. III POLICY IMPLICATIONS --
9. Chronicle of a Decline Foretold: Has China Reached the Lewis Turning Point? / Papa N'Diaye. Contents note continued: 10. How Pro-Poor and Inclusive Is China's Growth? A Cross-Country Perspective / Murtaza Syed --
11. De-Monopolization toward Long-Term Prosperity in China / Ashvin Ahuja --
12. Transforming China: Insights from the Japanese Experience of the 1980s / Papa N'Diaye --
13. The Next Big Bang: A Road Map for Financial Reform in China / Murtaza Syed --
14. Summation / Markus Rodlauer.
Responsibility: editors, Anoop Singh, Malhar Nabar, and Papa N'Diaye.

Abstract:

China's current account surplus has declined to around a quarter of its pre-crisis peak. While this is a major reduction in China's external imbalance, it has not been accompanied by a decisive shift toward consumption based growth. Instead, the compression in the external surplus has been accomplished through fixed investment rising even higher as a share of the national economy. The heavy reliance on investment raises questions about how durable the compression in the external surplus will be and whether the current growth model, which has had unprecedented success in lifting about 500 million people out of poverty over the last three decades, is sustainable. This volume looks at various aspects of the rebalancing under way in China and highlights policy lessons for achieving a stable, sustainable, and inclusive transformation of the growth model.

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