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Climate Cost Uncertainty, Retrofit Cost Uncertainty, And Infrastructure Closedown : a Framework For Analysis

Author: Sebastian Miller; Jon Strand; World Bank.
Publisher: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2010.
Series: Policy research working papers.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : International government publication : English
Summary:
Large and energy-intensive infrastructure investments with long life times have substantial implications for climate policy. This study focuses on options to scale down energy consumption and carbon emissions now and in the future, and on the costs of doing so. Two ways carbon emissions can be reduced post-investment include retrofitting the infrastructure, or closing it down. Generally, the presence of bulky  Read more...
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Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Miller, Sebastian.
Climate Cost Uncertainty, Retrofit Cost Uncertainty, And Infrastructure Closedown.
Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 2010
Material Type: Document, Government publication, International government publication, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Sebastian Miller; Jon Strand; World Bank.
OCLC Number: 778847199
Description: 1 online resource (32 pages)
Series Title: Policy research working papers.
Other Titles: World Bank e-Library.
Responsibility: Miller, Sebastian.

Abstract:

Large and energy-intensive infrastructure investments with long life times have substantial implications for climate policy. This study focuses on options to scale down energy consumption and carbon emissions now and in the future, and on the costs of doing so. Two ways carbon emissions can be reduced post-investment include retrofitting the infrastructure, or closing it down. Generally, the presence of bulky infrastructure investments makes it more costly to reduce emissions later. Moreover, when expected energy and environmental costs are continually rising, inherent biases in the selection processes for infrastructure investments lead to excessive energy intensity in such investments. Thus great care must be taken when choosing the energy intensity of the infrastructure at the time of investment. Simulations indicate that optimally exercising the retrofit option, when it is available, reduces ex ante expected energy consumption relative to the no-option case. Total energy plus retrofit costs can also be substantially reduced, the more so the larger is ex ante cost uncertainty. However, the availability of the retrofit option also leads to a more energy intensive initial infrastructure choice; this offsets some, but usually not all, of the gains from options for subsequent retrofitting.

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