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Crises in Northeast Asia

Author: Paul J Bracken; Rand Corporation.; Rand/UCLA Center for the Study of Soviet International Behavior.
Publisher: Santa Monica : Rand Corp., 1989.
Series: Rand note, N-2895-CC.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
This Note, reprinted from The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 11, No. 4, Autumn 1988, discusses the issues surrounding the deterrence and management of crises in Northeast Asia, and the regional strategic consequences of such crises. The author discusses the relationship between crises and political stability in Northeast Asia and concludes that the danger of rocking the boat too much, even well short of war, is a  Read more...
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Additional Physical Format: Online version:
Bracken, Paul J.
Crises in Northeast Asia.
Santa Monica : Rand Corporation, 1989
(OCoLC)647591085
Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Paul J Bracken; Rand Corporation.; Rand/UCLA Center for the Study of Soviet International Behavior.
OCLC Number: 19648127
Notes: "January, 1989."
"Prepared for the Carnegie Corporation."
"Project on Avoiding Nuclear War: Managing conflict in the nuclear age."
Reprinted from The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 11, No. 4, Autumn 1988 by The Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Description: 16 pages ; 28 cm.
Series Title: Rand note, N-2895-CC.
Responsibility: Paul Bracken.

Abstract:

This Note, reprinted from The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 11, No. 4, Autumn 1988, discusses the issues surrounding the deterrence and management of crises in Northeast Asia, and the regional strategic consequences of such crises. The author discusses the relationship between crises and political stability in Northeast Asia and concludes that the danger of rocking the boat too much, even well short of war, is a potential source of fundamental change in the region. Premeditated attack seems unlikely for the foreseeable future. Gradual strategic realignments also appear to have little chance of fundamentally upsetting the power balance. Assessments of stability in Northeast Asia that exclude the possibility of limited displays of force in a crisis are incomplete and overlook some of the more likely, and possibly larger, dynamics of change in the region.

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