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Dangerous thresholds : managing escalation in the 21st century

Author: Forrest E Morgan; Project Air Force (U.S.); United States. Air Force.; et al
Publisher: Santa Monica, CA : RAND Project Air Force, 2008.
Series: Rand Corporation monograph series.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
"Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Dangerous thresholds.
Santa Monica, CA : RAND Project Air Force, 2008
(DLC) 2008025202
(OCoLC)231583857
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Forrest E Morgan; Project Air Force (U.S.); United States. Air Force.; et al
ISBN: 9780833046369 0833046365
OCLC Number: 341245331
Notes: "MG-614-AF"--P. [4] of cover.
"Prepared for the United States Air Force."
Description: 1 online resource (xxvii, 245 p.) : ill., maps.
Contents: Ch. 1. Introduction --
Ch. 2. The nature of escalation --
Ch. 3. China's thinking on escalation: evidence from Chinese military writings --
Ch. 4. Regional nuclear powers --
Ch. 5. Escalation in irregular warfare --
Ch. 6. Managing escalation in a complex world --
App. A. China, force, and escalation: continuities between historical behavior and contemporary writings --
App. B. Case studies of escalation in stability operations --
App. C. Modified method for Delphi analyses.
Series Title: Rand Corporation monograph series.
Responsibility: Forrest E. Morgan ... [et al.].
More information:

Abstract:

"Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--Jacket.

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