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Demographic forecasting
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Demographic forecasting

著者: Federico Girosi; Gary King
出版商: Princeton : Princeton University Press, ©2008.
版本/格式:   图书 : 英语查看所有的版本和格式
提要:

Introduces statistical tools that can improve forecasts of population death rates. This work explains how to incorporate a great deal of demographic knowledge into models with many fewer adjustable  再读一些...

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材料类型: 互联网资源
文件类型: 书, 互联网资源
所有的著者/提供者: Federico Girosi; Gary King
ISBN: 9780691130941 0691130949 9780691130958 0691130957
OCLC号码: 213223859
描述: xviii, 267 p. : ill. (some col.) ; 27 cm.
内容: Qualitative view --
Existing methods for forecasting mortality. Methods without covariates ; Methods with covariates --
Statistical modeling. The model ; Priors over grouped continuous variables ; Model selection ; Adding priors over time and space ; Comparisons and extensions --
Estimation. Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation ; Fast estimation without Markov Chains --
Empirical evidence. Illustrative analyses ; Comparative analyses ; Concluding remarks ; A. Notation --
B. Mathematical refresher --
C. Improper normal priors --
D. Discretization of the derivative operator --
E. Smoothness over graphs.
责任: Federico Girosi and Gary King ; with contributions from Kevin Quinn and Gregory Wawro.

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