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| 材料类型： | 互联网资源 |
|---|---|
| 文件类型： | 书, 互联网资源 |
| 所有的著者/提供者： |
Walter S Baer; Scott Hassell; Ben A Vollaard; United States. Dept. of Energy. |
| ISBN: | 0833032798 9780833032799 |
| OCLC号码： | 50803439 |
| 注意： | "Prepared for the U.S. Department of Energy." |
| 描述： | xxvii, 143 p. : ill. ; 23 cm. |
| 内容： | Information and Communications Technologies and Energy in a Digital Society -- Report Objectives, Scope, and Organization -- Approach and Methodology -- Why Create Scenarios? -- Approach to Developing ICT Scenarios -- ICT Driving Factors -- Data, Assumptions, and Uncertainities in the Scenarios -- Information and Communications Technology Scenarios -- Overview of Scenarios -- Common 2001-2006 Scenario -- Ownership and Use of ICT Devices -- E-Commerce and Other ICT Applications -- ICT Issues in 2006 -- Reference Scenario -- Ownership and Use of ICT Devices -- E-Commerce and Other ICT Applications -- ICT Issues in 2021 -- Zaibatsu Scenario -- ICT Applications and Usage -- ICT Issues in 2021 -- Cybertopia Scenario -- ICT Applications and Usage -- ICT Issues in 2021 -- Net Insecurity Scenario -- ICT Applications and Usage -- ICT Issues in 2021 -- Comparing the Scenarios -- Technology Adoption Takes Place over Decades -- Contradictory Trends Proceed Simultaneously -- Unplanned, Mostly Unintended Consequences Dominate the Long-Term Effects of Technology -- Implications of the Scenarios for U.S. Electricity Use -- How ICT Influences Electricity and Other Energy Use -- Electricity Use in the Residential Sector, 2001-2021 -- Residential Electricity Use by ICT Equipment -- Electricity Savings from ICT-Facilitated Energy Management in Residences -- Changes in Residential Electricity Use from Telework -- Summing Up: ICT-Driven Residential Electricity Use, 2001-2021 -- Electricity Use in the Commercial Sector, 2001-2021. |
| 责任： | Walter S. Baer, Scott Hassell, Ben Vollaard. |
| 更多信息： |
摘要：
Increasing use of the Internet and other information and communications technologies (ICTs) marks a U.S. transition toward a "digital society" that may profoundly affect electricity supply, demand and delivery. RAND developed four 20-year scenarios of ICT evolution (2001-2021) for the U.S. Department of Energy and assessed their implications for future U.S. electricity requirements. Increased power consumption by ICT equipment is the most direct and visible effect, but not necessarily the most important. Over time, the effects that ICTs have on energy management, e-commerce, telework, and related trends will likely be much more consequential. Even large growth in the deployment and use of digital technologies will only modestly increase U.S. electricity use over the next two decades. The more pressing concern for an emerging digital society will be how to provide the higher-quality and more-reliable power that ICTs demand.
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相关主题：(2)
- Telecommunication systems -- Power supply.
- Electric power consumption -- United States -- Forecasting.
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由 gozodeer 已更新 2009-08-23