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|Additional Physical Format:||Online version:
Forecasting in the social and natural sciences.
Dordrecht ; Boston : D. Reidel Pub. Co. ; Norwell, MA, U.S.A. : Sold and distributed in the U.S.A. and Canada by Kluwer Academic Publishers, ©1987
|Material Type:||Conference publication|
|All Authors / Contributors:||
Kenneth C Land; Stephen Henry Schneider; Social Science Research Council (U.S.)
|Notes:||Papers revised from those presented at a conference held at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., June 10-13, 1984.|
|Description:||viii, 381 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm|
|Contents:||Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences: An Overview and Analysis of Isomorphisms.- I: Forecasting Contexts.- The Social Forecasting Industry.- Forecasts in Urban Transportation Planning: Uses, Methods, and Dilemmas.- Forecasting Errors: The Importance of the Decision-Making Context.- The Delphi Technique and Judgmental Forecasting.- II: Current Developments in Techniques and Models.- Econometric Forecasting: A Brief Survey of Current and Future Techniques.- A Survey of Census Bureau Population Projection Methods.- Forecasting Health Status Changes in an Aging U.S. Population: Assessment of the Current Status and some Proposals.- Recent Developments in Technological Forecasting.- III: Predictability, Forecast Errors, and Model Identification and Linkage.- The Predictability of Weather and Climate.- Errors in Forecasting Social Phenomena.- Forecasting the Impact of Climate on Food Systems: Model Testing and Model Linkage.- Modeling Economic-Demographic Linkages: A Study of National and Regional Models.- Scale Relationships in the Interactions of Climate, Ecosystems, and Societies.|
|Responsibility:||edited by Kenneth C. Land and Stephen H. Schneider ; sponsored by the Social Science Research Council, U.S.A.|