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Futures we are in

Author: F E Emery
Publisher: Leiden : Martinus Nijhoff, 1977.
Series: International series on the quality of working life, v. 5.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: F E Emery
ISBN: 9020706624 9789020706628
OCLC Number: 4114243
Description: xvi, 230 pages ; 23 cm.
Contents: 1. From Evolving Systems to Evolving Environments.- 1.1.1. Type 1: Random, placid environments.- 1.1.2. Type 2: Clustered, placid environments.- 1.1.3. Type 3: Disturbed, reactive environments.- 1.1.4. Type 4: Turbulent environments.- 1.2. The May-Ashby model.- 1.3. Trends towards the emergence of turbulent environments.- 1.4. An historical view of the transition to turbulence.- 1.5. Bureaucratisation as a fifth major contributor to the transition to turbulence.- 2. Three Patterns of Maladaptive Response to Turbulence; Three Possible Scenarios.- 2.1. Superficiality: Marcuse's scenario.- 2.2. Segmentation: the Orwellian scenario.- 2.3. Dissociation: Neumann's scenario.- 3. The Doomsday Scenarios.- 4. Active Adaptation: The Emergence of Ideal Seeking Systems.- 4.1. Turbulence, values and ideals.- 4.2. A theoretical note on the parameters of choice (and hence decision making).- 4.2.1. Ideals and the parameters of choice.- 4.2.2. Choice, environment and ideals.- 4.3. The embodiment of ideals.- 4.3.1. Two basic organisational designs.- 4.3.2. Democratisation of work.- 4.3.3. The assembly line: its logic and our future.- 4.3.4. The historical significance of democratisation of work.- 4.3.5. Matrix organisations.- 4.3.6. Adaptive planning.- 5. The Most Probable Future for Western Societies.- 5.1. Probable futures in work.- 5.2. Education.- 5.3. The family.- 5.4. Life patterns: security, mobility and leisure.- 6. A Scenario for Asia and the West.- 6.1. China as the leading part in Asia.- 6.2. China and the leading role of the West.- 6.3. China and the U.S.S.R.- 6.4. China and the rest of Asia.- 6.5. Japan.- 6.6. 'Maphilindo'.- 6.7. India.- 6.8. India 1976: a new path?.- 7. Notes for a World Scenario.- 7.1. The 'Third World'.- 7.2. International co-operation about international concerns.- 8. Epilogue: Social Sciences and Social Futures.- 8.1. Social science roles.- 8.2. Examples of ethical problems.- 8.3. Conclusions.- Appendix I. Social Forecasting.- A. Methodological premises of social forecasting.- B. Forecasting social futures as a problem in reduction of complexity.- C. The problem of detecting emerging processes.
Series Title: International series on the quality of working life, v. 5.
Responsibility: Fred Emery, in co-operation with Merrelyn Emery, Geoff Caldwell, Alastair Crombie.

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