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Gone with the wind : estimating hurricane climate change costs in the Caribbean

Author: S Acevedo; International Monetary Fund,; International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department,
Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, [2016] ©2016
Series: IMF working paper, WP/16/199.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : International government publication : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
This paper studies the economic costs of hurricanes in the Caribbean by constructing a novel dataset that combines a detailed record of tropical cyclones’ characteristics with reported damages. I estimate the relation between hurricane wind speeds and damages in the Caribbean; finding that the elasticity of damages to GDP ratio with respect to maximum wind speeds is three in the case of landfalls. The data show that  Read more...
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Details

Material Type: Document, Government publication, International government publication, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: S Acevedo; International Monetary Fund,; International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department,
ISBN: 9781475544763 1475544766
OCLC Number: 962065992
Notes: "October 2016."
At head of title: International Monetary Fund, Western Hemisphere Department.
Description: 1 online resource (40 pages) : color illustrations.
Series Title: IMF working paper, WP/16/199.
Responsibility: prepared by Sebastian Acevedo.

Abstract:

This paper studies the economic costs of hurricanes in the Caribbean by constructing a novel dataset that combines a detailed record of tropical cyclones’ characteristics with reported damages. I estimate the relation between hurricane wind speeds and damages in the Caribbean; finding that the elasticity of damages to GDP ratio with respect to maximum wind speeds is three in the case of landfalls. The data show that hurricane damages are considerably underreported, particularly in the 1950s and 1960s, with average damages potentially being three times as large as the reported average of 1.6 percent of GDP per year. I document and show that hurricanes that do not make landfall also have considerable negative impacts on the Caribbean economies. Finally, I estimate that the average annual hurricane damages in the Caribbean will increase between 22 and 77 percent by the year 2100, in a global warming scenario of high CO2 concentrations and high global temperatures.

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