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The impact of the 2009 federal tobacco excise tax increase on youth tobacco use

Author: Jidong Huang; Frank J Chaloupka, IV.; National Bureau of Economic Research.
Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, ©2012.
Series: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research), no. 18026.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
This study examined the impact of the 2009 federal tobacco excise tax increase on the use of cigarettes and smokeless tobacco products among youth using the Monitoring the Future survey, a nationally representative survey of 8th, 10th, and 12th grade students. The results of this analysis showed that this tax increase had a substantial short-term impact. The percentage of students who reported smoking in the past 30  Read more...
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Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Jidong Huang; Frank J Chaloupka, IV.; National Bureau of Economic Research.
OCLC Number: 793539765
Notes: Title from http://www.nber.org/papers/18026 viewed May 14, 2012.
"May 2012."
Description: 1 online resource.
Series Title: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research), no. 18026.
Responsibility: Jidong Huang, Frank J. Chaloupka, IV.

Abstract:

This study examined the impact of the 2009 federal tobacco excise tax increase on the use of cigarettes and smokeless tobacco products among youth using the Monitoring the Future survey, a nationally representative survey of 8th, 10th, and 12th grade students. The results of this analysis showed that this tax increase had a substantial short-term impact. The percentage of students who reported smoking in the past 30 days dropped between 9.7% and 13.3% immediately following the tax increase, depending on model specifications, and the percentage of students who reported using smokeless tobacco products dropped between 16% and 24%. It is estimated that there would have been approximately 220,000 -- 287,000 more current smokers and 135,000 -- 203,000 more smokeless tobacco users among middle school and high school students (age 14 -- 18) in the United States in May 2009 had the federal tax not increased in April 2009. The long-term projected number of youth prevented from smoking or using smokeless tobacco that resulted from the 2009 federal tax increase could be much larger given the resulting higher tobacco prices would deter more and more children from initiating smoking and smokeless tobacco use over time.

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