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Inflation dynamics in Mongolia : understanding the roller coaster

Author: Steven Barnett; Julia Bersch; Yasuhisa Ojima; International Monetary Fund.
Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012.
Series: IMF working paper, no. 12/192.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : International government publication : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising given Mongolia's geography, are determined primarily by local supply conditions, highly seasonal, and subject to large but short-lived shocks (usually weather related).  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Material Type: Document, Government publication, International government publication, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Steven Barnett; Julia Bersch; Yasuhisa Ojima; International Monetary Fund.
ISBN: 1475560885 9781475560886
OCLC Number: 812997575
Notes: "July 2012."
Description: 1 online resource (20 pages).
Series Title: IMF working paper, no. 12/192.
Responsibility: Steven Barnett, Julia Bersch and Yasuhisa Ojima.

Abstract:

Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising given Mongolia's geography, are determined primarily by local supply conditions, highly seasonal, and subject to large but short-lived shocks (usually weather related). Nonetheless, demand factors are also found to be significant in explaining price movements and empirical evidence suggests that a 10 percent increase in government wages, for example, would push up underlying inflation by 1 percentage point. So, while inflation will remain volatile due to agricultural shocks, there is space for macroeconomic stabilization policy to help reduce inflation volatility.

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