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Interpreting probability : controversies and developments in the early twentieth century

Autor: David Howie
Editora: Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 2002.
Séries: Cambridge studies in probability, induction, and decision theory.
Edição/Formato   Imprimir livro : InglêsVer todas as edições e formatos
Resumo:
The term probability can be used in two main senses. In the frequency interpretation it is a limiting ratio in a sequence of repeatable events. In the Bayesian view, probability is a mental construct representing uncertainty. This book is about these two types of probability and investigates how, despite being adopted by scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was  Ler mais...
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Detalhes

Gênero/Forma: Einführung
Pessoa Denominada: Harold Jeffreys; Ronald Aylmer Fisher, Sir; Ronald Aylmer Fisher, Sir; Harold Jeffreys
Tipo de Material: Recurso Internet
Tipo de Documento Livro, Recursos de internet
Todos os Autores / Contribuintes: David Howie
ISBN: 0521812518 9780521812511
Número OCLC: 48084073
Descrição: xi, 262 p. ; 24 cm.
Conteúdos: The meaning of probability --
The history of probability --
Scope of this book --
Methods and argument --
Synopsis and aims --
Probability up to the Twentieth Century --
Early applications of the probability calculus --
Resistance to the calculation of uncertainty --
The doctrine of chances --
Inverse probability --
Laplacean probability --
The eclipse of Laplacean probability --
Social statistics --
The rise of the frequency interpretation of probability --
Opposition to social statistics and probabilistic methods --
Probability theory in the sciences: evolution and biometrics --
The interpretation of probability around the end of the nineteenth century --
R.A. Fisher and Statistical Probability --
R.A. Fisher's early years --
Evolution --
the biometricians versus the Mendelians --
Fisher's early work --
The clash with Pearson --
Fisher's rejection of inverse probability --
Fisher's new version of probability --
The papers of 1921 and 1922 --
The Pearson-Fisher feud --
The move to Rothamsted: experimental design --
The position in 1925 --
Statistical Methods for Research Workers --
The development of fiducial probability --
Fisher's position in 1932 --
Harold Jeffreys and Inverse Probability --
Jeffreys's background and early career --
The Meteorological Office --
Dorothy Wrinch --
Broad's 1918 paper --
Wrinch and Jeffreys tackle probability --
After the first paper --
General relativity --
The Oppau explosion --
New work on probability --
John Maynard Keynes --
Other factors --
Probability theory extended.
Título da Série: Cambridge studies in probability, induction, and decision theory.
Responsabilidade: David Howie.
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Resumo:

This 2002 book investigates how Bayesianism as one theory of probability was discredited in the 1920s and 1930s.  Ler mais...

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"...this is a timely and valuable contribution to our knowledge o the period and its great figures. There is a wealth of incidental, but always relevant and often fascinating, historical detail. Ler mais...

 
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