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Is Japan's population aging deflationary?

Author: Derek Anderson; Dennis Botman; Ben Hunt; International Monetary Fund. Research Department.; International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Department.
Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, Research Department and Asia and Pacific Department, 2014.
Series: IMF working paper, WP/14/139.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
"Japan has the most rapidly aging population in the world. This affects growth and fiscal sustainability, but the potential impact on inflation has been studied less. The authors use the IMF's Global Integrated Fiscal and Monetary Model (GIMF) and find substantial deflationary pressures from aging, mainly from declining growth and falling land prices. Dissaving by the elderly makes matters worse as it leads to real  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Anderson, Derek.
Is Japan's Population Aging Deflationary?
Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2014
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Derek Anderson; Dennis Botman; Ben Hunt; International Monetary Fund. Research Department.; International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Department.
ISBN: 9781498334297 1498334296
OCLC Number: 885296436
Notes: "August 2014."
Description: 1 online resource (23 pages).
Series Title: IMF working paper, WP/14/139.
Responsibility: Derek Anderson, Dennis P.J. Botman, Ben Hunt.

Abstract:

"Japan has the most rapidly aging population in the world. This affects growth and fiscal sustainability, but the potential impact on inflation has been studied less. The authors use the IMF's Global Integrated Fiscal and Monetary Model (GIMF) and find substantial deflationary pressures from aging, mainly from declining growth and falling land prices. Dissaving by the elderly makes matters worse as it leads to real exchange rate appreciation from the repatriation of foreign assets. The deflationary effects from aging are magnified by the large fiscal consolidation need. Many of these factors will beset other advanced countries as well, but they find that deflation risk from aging is not inevitable as ambitious structural reforms and an aggressive monetary policy reaction can provide the offset."--Summary.

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