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The logic of failure : recognizing and avoiding error in complex situations

Autor: Dietrich Dörner
Editora: Cambridge, Mass. : Perseus Books, 1996.
Edição/Formato   Livro : InglêsVer todas as edições e formatos
Base de Dados:WorldCat
Resumo:

An incisive analysis of real-life situations that helps all those involved in any kind of strategic planning recognize and avoid logical yet devastating errors.

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Detalhes

Tipo de Documento: Livro
Todos os Autores / Contribuintes: Dietrich Dörner
ISBN: 0201479486 9780201479485
Número OCLC: 41376833
Notas: Originally published: New York : Metropolitan Books, 1996.
"A Merloyd Lawrence book."
Descrição: 222 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.
Conteúdos: Some examples. The lamentable fate of Tanaland ; The not-quite-so-lamentable fate of Greenvale ; Chernobyl in Tanaland --
The demands. Complexity ; Dynamics ; Intransparence ; Ignorance and mistaken hypotheses ; Steps in planning and action --
Setting goals. Requirements of goal setting ; General goals and "repair service" behavior ; Liberty, equality, and "voluntary conscription" --
Information and models. Reality, Models, and information ; Solving problems one at a time ; "It's the environment" ; Prime numbers and tourist traffic, or Moltke and forest fires ; The pale cast of thought --
Time sequences. Time and space ; Lily pads, grains of rice, and AIDS ; A premature all clear? ; Laymen and experts ; "Twenty-eight is a good number" ; Predators and prey ; The moths of Kuera --
Planning. "Go make yourself a plan..." ; Rumpelstiltskin ; Learn by making mistakes? Not necessarily! --
So now what do we do?
Outros Títulos: Logik des Misslingens.
Responsabilidade: Dietrich Dörner ; [translated by Rita and Robert Kimber].

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