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The logic of failure : recognizing and avoiding error in complex situations

著者: Dietrich Dörner
出版商: Cambridge, Mass. : Perseus Books, 1996.
版本/格式:   Print book : 英语查看所有的版本和格式
数据库:WorldCat
提要:

An incisive analysis of real-life situations that helps all those involved in any kind of strategic planning recognize and avoid logical yet devastating errors.

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文件类型:
所有的著者/提供者: Dietrich Dörner
ISBN: 0201479486 9780201479485
OCLC号码: 41376833
注意: Originally published: New York : Metropolitan Books, 1996.
"A Merloyd Lawrence book."
描述: 222 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
内容: Some examples. The lamentable fate of Tanaland ; The not-quite-so-lamentable fate of Greenvale ; Chernobyl in Tanaland --
The demands. Complexity ; Dynamics ; Intransparence ; Ignorance and mistaken hypotheses ; Steps in planning and action --
Setting goals. Requirements of goal setting ; General goals and "repair service" behavior ; Liberty, equality, and "voluntary conscription" --
Information and models. Reality, Models, and information ; Solving problems one at a time ; "It's the environment" ; Prime numbers and tourist traffic, or Moltke and forest fires ; The pale cast of thought --
Time sequences. Time and space ; Lily pads, grains of rice, and AIDS ; A premature all clear? ; Laymen and experts ; "Twenty-eight is a good number" ; Predators and prey ; The moths of Kuera --
Planning. "Go make yourself a plan ..." ; Rumpelstiltskin ; Learn by making mistakes? Not necessarily! --
So now what do we do?
其他题名: Logik des Misslingens.
责任: Dietrich Dörner ; [translated by Rita and Robert Kimber].

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