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The macroeconomic impact of scaled-up aid : the case of Niger

Author: Abdikarim Farah; Emilio Sacerdoti; Gonzalo Salinas; International Monetary Fund. African Department.
Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009.
Series: IMF working paper, WP/09/36.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
We develop a simple macroeconomic model that assesses the effects of higher foreign aid on output growth and other macroeconomic variables, including the real exchange rate. The model is easily tractable and requires estimation of only a few basic parameters. It takes into account the impact of aid on physical and human capital accumulation, while recognizing that the impact of the latter is more protracted.  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Farah, Abdikarim.
Macroeconomic impact of scaled-up aid.
[Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009
(OCoLC)469097869
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Abdikarim Farah; Emilio Sacerdoti; Gonzalo Salinas; International Monetary Fund. African Department.
OCLC Number: 469097877
Notes: At head of title: African Department.
"March 2009."
Description: 1 online resource (1 electronic resource (33 pages)) : illustrations (some color).
Series Title: IMF working paper, WP/09/36.
Responsibility: prepared by Abdikarim Farah, Emilio Sacerdoti, and Gonzalo Salinas.

Abstract:

We develop a simple macroeconomic model that assesses the effects of higher foreign aid on output growth and other macroeconomic variables, including the real exchange rate. The model is easily tractable and requires estimation of only a few basic parameters. It takes into account the impact of aid on physical and human capital accumulation, while recognizing that the impact of the latter is more protracted. Application of the model to Niger-one of the poorest countries in the world-suggests that if foreign aid as a share of GDP were to be permanently increased from the equivalent of 10 percent of GDP in 2007 to 15 percent in 2008, annual economic growth would accelerate by more than 1 percentage point, without generating significant risks for macroeconomic stability. As a result, by 2020 Niger's income per capita would be 12.5 percent higher than it would be without increased foreign aid. Moreover, the higher growth would help Niger to cut the incidence of poverty by 25 percent by 2015, although the country will still be unable to reach the Millennium Development Goal of poverty reduction (MDG 1).

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