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Managing risk : the human element

Author: R B Duffey; John Walton Saull
Publisher: Chichester, UK : John Wiley & Sons, 2008.
Edition/Format:   Book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
"Managing Risk: the Human Element combines descriptive and explanatory text with theoretical and mathematical analysis, offering important new concepts that can be used to improve the management of risk, trend analysis and prediction, and hence affect the accident rate in technological industries. It uses major accidents to identify common causal factors, or "echoes", and specific experience parameters for each  Read more...
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Material Type: Internet resource
Document Type: Book, Internet Resource
All Authors / Contributors: R B Duffey; John Walton Saull
ISBN: 0470699760 9780470699768
OCLC Number: 243673899
Description: xxvii, 539 pages, [8] pages of plates : illustrations (some color) ; 26 cm
Contents: Definitions of risk and risk management --
The art of prediction and the creation of order --
Technical summary --
The universal learning curve --
The four echoes : power blackouts, space shuttle losses, concorde crashes, and the Chernobyl and Three Mile Island accidents --
Predicting rocket risks and refinery explosions : near misses, shuttle safety, and anti-missile defence systems effectiveness --
The probability of human error : learning in technological systems --
Eliminating mistakes : the concept of error states --
Risk assessment : dynamic events and financial risks --
Safety and risk management systems : the fifth echoes --
Risk perception : searching for the truth among all the numbers --
I must be learning.
Responsibility: by Romney B. Duffey, John W. Saull.
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Abstract:

Presents a new way of predicting and managing risk and improving the accident rate in all technological industries. Develops probability analysis for the prediction of future events. Shows  Read more...

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"An excellently produced book with over 500 pages of detailed information on the management of risk and the avoidance of accidents." ( AMEC , November 2008)

 
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schema:reviewBody""Managing Risk: the Human Element combines descriptive and explanatory text with theoretical and mathematical analysis, offering important new concepts that can be used to improve the management of risk, trend analysis and prediction, and hence affect the accident rate in technological industries. It uses major accidents to identify common causal factors, or "echoes", and specific experience parameters for each particular industry vital to achieving a minimum error rate defined by mathematical prediction. New ideas for the perception and prediction of risk are introduced, and safety management is covered in depth, including for rare events and "unknown" outcomes" "Managing Risk: the Human Element is an essential read for professional safety experts, human reliability experts and engineers in all technological industries, as well as risk analysts and corporate managers. It is also of interest to professors, researchers and postgraduate students of reliability and safety engineering, and to experts in human performance."--Jacket."
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