跳至内容
The map and the territory : risk, human nature, and the future of forecasting 線上預覽
關閉線上預覽
正在查...

The map and the territory : risk, human nature, and the future of forecasting

作者: Alan Greenspan
出版商: New York : The Penguin Press, 2013.
版本/格式:   Print book : 英語所有版本和格式的總覽
資料庫:WorldCat
提要:
Explains how the financial crisis has challenged fundamental assumptions about leading economic models, drawing on twenty-first-century technologies and the expertise of behavioral economists to outline new forecasting practices.
評定級別:

(尚未評分) 0 附有評論 - 成爲第一個。

主題
更多類似這樣的

 

在圖書館查詢

&AllPage.SpinnerRetrieving; 正在查詢有此資料的圖書館...

詳細書目

文件類型: 圖書
所有的作者/貢獻者: Alan Greenspan
ISBN: 9781594204814 1594204810
OCLC系統控制編碼: 837179768
描述: 388 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm
内容: Animal spirits --
The crisis begins, intensifies, and abates --
The roots of crisis --
Stock prices and equity stimulus --
Finance and regulation --
Schooner intelligence and then some --
Uncertainty undermines investment --
Productivity : the ultimate measure of economic success --
Productivity and the age of entitlements --
Culture --
The onset of globalization, income inequality, and the rise of the gini and the crony --
Money and inflation --
Buffers --
The bottom line.
責任: Alan Greenspan.

摘要:

Explains how the financial crisis has challenged fundamental assumptions about leading economic models, drawing on twenty-first-century technologies and the expertise of behavioral economists to outline new forecasting practices.

Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role in economic decision making in the world saw beforehand the storm for what it was. How had our models so utterly failed us? To answer this question, Alan Greenspan embarked on a rigorous and far-reaching multiyear examination of how Homo economicus predicts the economic future, and how it can predict it better. Economic risk is a fact of life in every realm, from home to business to government at all levels. Whether we're conscious of it or not, we make wagers on the future virtually every day, one way or another. Very often, however, we're steering by out-of-date maps, when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control. The Map and the Territory is nothing less than an effort to update our forecasting conceptual grid. It integrates the history of economic prediction, the new work of behavioral economists, and the fruits of the author's own remarkable career to offer a thrillingly lucid and empirically based grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't. The book explores how culture is and isn't destiny and probes what we can predict about the world's biggest looming challenges, from debt and the reform of the welfare state to natural disasters in an age of global warming. No map is the territory, but Greenspan's approach, grounded in his trademark rigor, wisdom, and unprecedented context, ensures that this particular map will assist in safe journeys down many different roads, traveled by individuals, businesses, and the state. - Publisher.

評論

讀者提供的評論
正在擷取GoodReads評論...
正在擷取DOGObooks的評論

標籤

成爲第一個
確認申請

你可能已經申請過這份資料。若還是想申請,請選確認。

連結資料


Primary Entity

<http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/837179768> # The map and the territory : risk, human nature, and the future of forecasting
    a schema:Book, schema:CreativeWork ;
   library:oclcnum "837179768" ;
   library:placeOfPublication <http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/countries/nyu> ;
   schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Topic/ekonomisk_politik> ; # Ekonomisk politik
   schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Place/forenta_staterna> ; # Förenta staterna.
   schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Place/united_states> ; # United States
   schema:about <http://dewey.info/class/330.97300112/e23/> ;
   schema:about <http://id.worldcat.org/fast/1098118> ; # Risk
   schema:about <http://id.worldcat.org/fast/1204155> ; # United States.
   schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Topic/ekonomiska_prognoser> ; # Ekonomiska prognoser
   schema:about <http://id.worldcat.org/fast/902025> ; # Economic policy
   schema:about <http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2008102569> ; # Economic forecasting--United States
   schema:about <http://id.worldcat.org/fast/901942> ; # Economic forecasting
   schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Topic/finanskriser> ; # Finanskriser
   schema:about <http://id.worldcat.org/fast/924607> ; # Financial crises
   schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Topic/risk_ekonomiska_aspekter> ; # Risk--ekonomiska aspekter
   schema:about <http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2008120571> ; # Financial crises--United States
   schema:bookFormat bgn:PrintBook ;
   schema:creator <http://viaf.org/viaf/76634350> ; # Alan Greenspan
   schema:datePublished "2013" ;
   schema:description "Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role in economic decision making in the world saw beforehand the storm for what it was. How had our models so utterly failed us? To answer this question, Alan Greenspan embarked on a rigorous and far-reaching multiyear examination of how Homo economicus predicts the economic future, and how it can predict it better. Economic risk is a fact of life in every realm, from home to business to government at all levels. Whether we're conscious of it or not, we make wagers on the future virtually every day, one way or another. Very often, however, we're steering by out-of-date maps, when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control. The Map and the Territory is nothing less than an effort to update our forecasting conceptual grid. It integrates the history of economic prediction, the new work of behavioral economists, and the fruits of the author's own remarkable career to offer a thrillingly lucid and empirically based grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't. The book explores how culture is and isn't destiny and probes what we can predict about the world's biggest looming challenges, from debt and the reform of the welfare state to natural disasters in an age of global warming. No map is the territory, but Greenspan's approach, grounded in his trademark rigor, wisdom, and unprecedented context, ensures that this particular map will assist in safe journeys down many different roads, traveled by individuals, businesses, and the state. - Publisher."@en ;
   schema:description "Animal spirits -- The crisis begins, intensifies, and abates -- The roots of crisis -- Stock prices and equity stimulus -- Finance and regulation -- Schooner intelligence and then some -- Uncertainty undermines investment -- Productivity : the ultimate measure of economic success -- Productivity and the age of entitlements -- Culture -- The onset of globalization, income inequality, and the rise of the gini and the crony -- Money and inflation -- Buffers -- The bottom line."@en ;
   schema:description "Explains how the financial crisis has challenged fundamental assumptions about leading economic models, drawing on twenty-first-century technologies and the expertise of behavioral economists to outline new forecasting practices."@en ;
   schema:exampleOfWork <http://worldcat.org/entity/work/id/1411528847> ;
   schema:inLanguage "en" ;
   schema:name "The map and the territory : risk, human nature, and the future of forecasting"@en ;
   schema:productID "837179768" ;
   schema:workExample <http://worldcat.org/isbn/9781594204814> ;
   wdrs:describedby <http://www.worldcat.org/title/-/oclc/837179768> ;
    .


Related Entities

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Place/forenta_staterna> # Förenta staterna.
    a schema:Place ;
   schema:name "Förenta staterna." ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Topic/ekonomiska_prognoser> # Ekonomiska prognoser
    a schema:Intangible ;
   schema:name "Ekonomiska prognoser"@en ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/1411528847#Topic/risk_ekonomiska_aspekter> # Risk--ekonomiska aspekter
    a schema:Intangible ;
   schema:name "Risk--ekonomiska aspekter"@en ;
    .

<http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2008102569> # Economic forecasting--United States
    a schema:Intangible ;
   schema:name "Economic forecasting--United States"@en ;
    .

<http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh2008120571> # Financial crises--United States
    a schema:Intangible ;
   schema:name "Financial crises--United States"@en ;
    .

<http://id.worldcat.org/fast/1098118> # Risk
    a schema:Intangible ;
   schema:name "Risk"@en ;
    .

<http://id.worldcat.org/fast/1204155> # United States.
    a schema:Place ;
   schema:name "United States." ;
    .

<http://id.worldcat.org/fast/901942> # Economic forecasting
    a schema:Intangible ;
   schema:name "Economic forecasting"@en ;
    .

<http://id.worldcat.org/fast/902025> # Economic policy
    a schema:Intangible ;
   schema:name "Economic policy"@en ;
    .

<http://id.worldcat.org/fast/924607> # Financial crises
    a schema:Intangible ;
   schema:name "Financial crises"@en ;
    .

<http://viaf.org/viaf/76634350> # Alan Greenspan
    a schema:Person ;
   schema:birthDate "1926" ;
   schema:familyName "Greenspan" ;
   schema:givenName "Alan" ;
   schema:name "Alan Greenspan" ;
    .

<http://worldcat.org/isbn/9781594204814>
    a schema:ProductModel ;
   schema:isbn "1594204810" ;
   schema:isbn "9781594204814" ;
    .


Content-negotiable representations

關閉視窗

請登入WorldCat 

没有帳號嗎?你可很容易的 建立免費的帳號.