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A Note on Revenue Forecasting During the Dukakis Administration

저자: Harvey S Rosen; Daniel R Feenberg; National Bureau of Economic Research.
출판사: Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, 1988.
시리즈: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research), no. w2667.
판/형식:   전자도서 : 문서 : 영어모든 판과 형식 보기
데이터베이스:WorldCat
요약:
Critics of Governor Michael Dukakis have suggested that this year?s $400 million overestimate of tax revenues in Massachusetts casts doubt on his putative managerial skills. In this paper, we carefully examine the entire Dukakis forecasting record. We find that the 1988 experience was "unusual? in the sense that on average, revenue forecasts produced by his administration have been too low rather than too high. In  더 읽기…
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추가적인 물리적 형식: Print version:
Feenberg, Daniel.
Note on revenue forecasting during the Dukakis administrations.
Cambridge, MA : National Bureau of Economic Research, [1988]
(OCoLC)18435208
명시된 사람: Michael S Dukakis
자료 유형: 문서, 인터넷 자료
문서 형식: 인터넷 자원, 컴퓨터 파일
모든 저자 / 참여자: Harvey S Rosen; Daniel R Feenberg; National Bureau of Economic Research.
OCLC 번호: 756572134
설명: 1 online resource.
일련 제목: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research), no. w2667.
책임: Daniel R. Feenberg, Harvey S. Rosen.

초록:

Critics of Governor Michael Dukakis have suggested that this year?s $400 million overestimate of tax revenues in Massachusetts casts doubt on his putative managerial skills. In this paper, we carefully examine the entire Dukakis forecasting record. We find that the 1988 experience was "unusual? in the sense that on average, revenue forecasts produced by his administration have been too low rather than too high. In addition, we find that there is no significant difference between the quality of the Dukakis forecasts and those of his predecessors in Massachusetts. Hence, those who seek to discover anything extraordinarily positive or negative about Dukakis? managerial capabilities should shift their attention to skills other than revenue forecasting.

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