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Numbers, predictions, and war : using history to evaluate combat factors and predict the outcome of battles

Author: Trevor N Dupuy
Publisher: Indianapolis : Bobbs-Merrill, ©1979.
Edition/Format:   Book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
This remarkable book for war-gamers, political and military analysts, and anyone else interested in military history - or in future history - is the result of a series of studies undertaken for the United States Department of Defense and for the British Defence Operational Analysis Establishment. In order to prepare for strategic contingencies, military planners wanted to know what modern historical experiences  Read more...
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Additional Physical Format: Online version:
Dupuy, Trevor N. (Trevor Nevitt), 1916-1995.
Numbers, predictions, and war.
Indianapolis : Bobbs-Merrill, c1979
(OCoLC)569400834
Online version:
Dupuy, Trevor N. (Trevor Nevitt), 1916-1995.
Numbers, predictions, and war.
Indianapolis : Bobbs-Merrill, c1979
(OCoLC)607772222
Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Trevor N Dupuy
ISBN: 0672521318 9780672521317
OCLC Number: 4037624
Notes: Includes index.
Description: xvii, 244 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.
Contents: Numbers and military history --
The effects of weapons --
Identifying and representing combat variables --
Constructing a model --
Representing World War II combat --
Representing air support in World War II --
Behavioral variables in World War II --
Projecting future combat --
Reliably representing the Arab-Israeli wars --
The model and operations research --
The model and history --
The model, fun, and games.
Responsibility: by T. N. Dupuy.

Abstract:

This remarkable book for war-gamers, political and military analysts, and anyone else interested in military history - or in future history - is the result of a series of studies undertaken for the United States Department of Defense and for the British Defence Operational Analysis Establishment. In order to prepare for strategic contingencies, military planners wanted to know what modern historical experiences could tell them about teh nature of combat and the reasons for a group's success or failure. Some Pentagon officials also needed to find out the extent to which these historical experiences could provide a basis for predicting battle outcomes.

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