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Political price cycles in regulated industries : theory and evidence

Author: Claudio Paiva; Rodrigo Moita
Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, IMF Institute, 2006.
Series: IMF working paper, WP/06/260.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : International government publication : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
This paper develops a model of political regulation in which politicians set the regulated price in order to maximize electoral support by signaling to voters a pro-consumer behavior. Political incentives and welfare constraints interact in the model, yielding an equilibrium in which the real price in a regulated industry may fall in periods immediately preceding an election. The paper also provides empirical  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Material Type: Document, Government publication, International government publication, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Claudio Paiva; Rodrigo Moita
ISBN: 1282448315 9781282448315 9781451909739 145190973X
OCLC Number: 698585716
Description: 1 online resource (22 pages).
Series Title: IMF working paper, WP/06/260.
Responsibility: prepared by Claudio Paiva and Rodrigo Moita.

Abstract:

This paper develops a model of political regulation in which politicians set the regulated price in order to maximize electoral support by signaling to voters a pro-consumer behavior. Political incentives and welfare constraints interact in the model, yielding an equilibrium in which the real price in a regulated industry may fall in periods immediately preceding an election. The paper also provides empirical support for the theoretical model. Using quarterly data from 32 industrial and developing countries over 1978-2004, we find strong statistical and econometric evidence pointing toward the existence of electoral price cycles in gasoline markets.

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