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Preparing for the twenty-first century

著者: Paul M Kennedy
出版商: New York : Random House, ©1993.
版本/格式:   图书 : 英语 : 1st ed查看所有的版本和格式
数据库:WorldCat
提要:
Human history has always been shaped by the growth and migration of populations, by the opportunities and constraints provided by the environment, and by the rise of new technologies. Today, these forces are enmeshed in a state of unprecedented turbulence. World population has more than doubled in the past forty years to reach its current level of 5.5 billion, and it will exceed 8 billion and perhaps even 10  再读一些...
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所有的著者/提供者: Paul M Kennedy
ISBN: 0394584430 9780394584430 0002157055 9780002157056
OCLC号码: 26768284
描述: xvi, 428 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
内容: Prologue : old challenges and new challenges --
The demographic explosion --
The communications and financial revolution and the rise of the multinational corporation --
World agriculture and the biotechnology revolution --
Robotics, automation, and a new industrial revolution --
The dangers to our natural environment --
The future of the nation-state --
The Japanese "plan" for a post-2000 world --
India and China --
Winners and losers in the developing world --
The erstwhile USSR and its crumbled empire --
Europe and the future --
The American dilemma --
Preparing for the twenty-first century.
其他题名: Preparing for the 21st century
责任: Paul Kennedy.
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摘要:

Human history has always been shaped by the growth and migration of populations, by the opportunities and constraints provided by the environment, and by the rise of new technologies. Today, these forces are enmeshed in a state of unprecedented turbulence. World population has more than doubled in the past forty years to reach its current level of 5.5 billion, and it will exceed 8 billion and perhaps even 10 billion early in the next century. How will these vast numbers reshape the world's borders, strain an already fragile ecosystem, and remake politics? New technologies are even now replacing traditional work with radically new systems of production and communication, promising enormous changes in both industrial and traditional agricultural societies. Will potential developments in biotechnology render traditional food producers obsolete? What is the role of robotics in a world where millions of new jobs are needed each year to absorb the fast-growing population? And what will the roles of women be? How will the spread of AIDS affect the rapid growth of population in countries like India or those of central Africa? And how will all these complex, mutually dependent changes affect individual nations as they struggle with their own ethnic and economic pressures, including the inevitability of ever larger migrations from poorer to richer parts of the world as populations explode in less developed regions and decline in such areas as Japan, parts of North America, and the European continent? Given their historic behavior, how will Japan, the United States, and Europe - as well as the countries of Asia, Africa, and Latin America - be likely to respond to these unprecedented circumstances? What is the role of education in a two- or three-tier world? Professor Kennedy's classic The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers considered the forces within nations that led to their rise and fall. In Preparing for the Twenty-first Century Kennedy addresses a larger and uniquely modern question: how will transnational forces in a world of scarce resources, instant communications, and exploding population affect the nations of the world and the people who inhabit them as the new century dawns?

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