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Psychology of intelligence analysis

Author: Richards J Heuer; Center for the Study of Intelligence (U.S.)
Publisher: [Washington, D.C.] : Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency, 1999.
Edition/Format:   eBook : National government publication : Microfiche : EnglishView all editions and formats
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Material Type: Government publication, National government publication, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource
All Authors / Contributors: Richards J Heuer; Center for the Study of Intelligence (U.S.)
ISBN: 1929667000 9781929667000
OCLC Number: 50037315
Reproduction Notes: Microfiche. [Washington, D.C.] : Supt. of Docs., U.S. G.P.O., [2002]. 3 microfiches.
Description: xxvi, 184 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm
Contents: pt. I. Our mental machinery. ch. 1. Thinking about thinking --
ch. 2. Perception : why can't we see what is there to be seen? --
ch. 3. Memory : how do we remember what we know? --
pt. II. Tools for thinking. ch. 4. Strategies for analytical judgement : transcending the limits of incomplete information --
ch. 5. Do you really need more information? --
ch. 6. Keeping an open mind --
ch. 7. Structuring analytical problems --
ch. 8. Analysis of competing hypotheses --
pt. III. Cognitive biases. ch. 9. What are cognitive biases? --
ch. 10. Biases in evaluation of evidence --
ch. 11. Biases in perception of cause and effect --
ch. 12. Biases in estimating probabilities --
ch. 13. Hindsight biases in evaluation of intelligence reporting --
pt. IV. Conclusions. ch. 14. Improving intelligence analysis.
Responsibility: by Richards J. Heuer, Jr.

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