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Seeing tomorrow : rewriting the rules of risk

Author: R S Dembo; Andrew Freeman
Publisher: New York : John Wiley & Sons, ©1998.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
"In Seeing Tomorrow Ron Dembo and Andrew Freeman offer a dynamic framework designed to enhance our ability to make important decisions, and consequently change how we manage our investments. By incorporating investors' individual circumstances and tolerances - as well as the unique reasoning behind their decision making - this innovative approach captures much more of how we actually think about risk." "From the  Read more...
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Material Type: Internet resource
Document Type: Book, Internet Resource
All Authors / Contributors: R S Dembo; Andrew Freeman
ISBN: 0471247367 9780471247364 0471401633 9780471401636
OCLC Number: 38061652
Notes: Includes index.
Description: xii, 260 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
Contents: Introduction: It Really Happened --
Ch. 1. How to Think About Risk --
Ch. 2. The Elements of Risk Management --
Ch. 3. Of Decisions and Risk --
Ch. 4. Sweet Regret --
Ch. 5. Keeping up with the Joneses --
Ch. 6. Paying for Playing --
Ch. 7. The Rap Trap and Evaluations --
Ch. 8. Of Life, Lotteries, and Stock Options --
Ch. 9. Making Good Things Better --
Ch. 10. Know your Risk --
Afterword: How Regret can Change your Life.
Responsibility: Ron S. Dembo, Andrew Freeman.
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Abstract:

"With their ingenious blend of psychology and rigorous quantitative analysis, the authors have created an authoritative and innovative handbook of risk management that is essential for both  Read more...

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"As a how-to book about managing risk, it's a worthwhile follow-up to Peter L. Bernstein's best-selling 1996 history of the field, Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk."-Business Week

 
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    schema:reviewBody ""In Seeing Tomorrow Ron Dembo and Andrew Freeman offer a dynamic framework designed to enhance our ability to make important decisions, and consequently change how we manage our investments. By incorporating investors' individual circumstances and tolerances - as well as the unique reasoning behind their decision making - this innovative approach captures much more of how we actually think about risk." "From the basic building blocks required for forward-looking risk management, Dembo and Freeman define and explore the roles and significance of such fundamentals as time horizons, risk measures, benchmarks, and scenarios. Once the foundation is laid, these elements are used to construct a solid architecture for risk management and risk-adjusted analysis that is not only general enough to be able to handle a multitude of risks, but also able to present many different measures of risk." "With clear-cut explanations and intriguing real-world examples, Seeing Tomorrow leads you step by step through the authors' risk rules. These include: choosing an appropriate time horizon, selecting scenarios, computing Value at Risk (VAR), assessing both the upside and downside of a potential deal, calculating Regret, and compiling a reliable Regret matrix. By combining Regret, Upside, and a measure of our tolerance for risk, the authors demonstrate how these components create a powerful new way of approaching decisions. They offer guidance on very specific real life problems - such as buying a house or suing someone - as well as on broad matters of strategy and investing."--Jacket." ;
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