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The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't

Author: Nate Silver
Publisher: New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
Edition/Format:   Book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
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Genre/Form: History
Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Nate Silver
ISBN: 9781594204111 159420411X
OCLC Number: 815377482
Description: 534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Contents: A Catastrophic failure of prediction --
Are you smarter than a television pundit --
All I care about is W's and L's --
For years you've been telling us that rain is green --
Desperately seeking signal --
How to drown in three feet of water --
Role models --
Less and less and less wrong --
Rage against the machines --
The poker bubble --
If you can't beat 'em --
A climate of healthy skepticism --
What you don't know can hurt you.
Responsibility: Nate Silver.

Abstract:

Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.

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