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A simulation approach to the study of human fertility

Author: Gigi Santow
Publisher: Leiden ; Boston : Nijhoff Social Sciences Division : Hingham : MA : Kluwer Boston, distributors for North America, 1978.
Series: Publications of the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute (N.I.D.I.) and the Population and Family Study Centre (C.B.G.S.), v. 5.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:

In the first part, comprising Chapters One to Four, an examination of historical and contemporary models of population growth led to the decision to study changes in fertility by means of a  Read more...

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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Gigi Santow
ISBN: 9020707655 9789020707656
OCLC Number: 4667372
Notes: A Revision of the author's thesis, Australian National University.
Description: viii, 215 pages ; 23 cm.
Contents: 1. Introduction.- 1.1. Types and uses of models.- 1.2. Simulation models.- 1.3. The development of population models.- 1.4. The Monte Carlo technique and microsimulation.- 2. The Model.- 2.1. Introduction.- 2.2. The choice of a model.- 2.3. The choice of suitable input data.- 2.4. Preliminary testing of the model.- 3. Biological Input.- 3.1. Introduction.- 3.2. The probability of conception.- 3.2.1. Fecundability.- 3.2.2. Foetal loss.- 3.3. Temporary and permanent sterility.- 3.3.1. The limits of reproductive life.- 3.3.2. Primary and secondary sterility.- 3.3.3. Gestation.- 3.3.4. Post partum amenorrhoea.- 4. Refinement of the Model.- 4.1. Introduction.- 4.2. Variations in temporary and permanent infecundability.- 4.2.1. Gestation and post partum amenorrhoea.- 4.2.2. Sterility and menopause.- 4.3. Variations in the probability of conception.- 4.4. The simulation of Hutterite fertility.- 5. The Effects on Fertility of Breastfeeding and Sexual Abstinence.- 5.1. The relationship between the durations of breastfeeding and post partum amenorrhoea.- 5.2. The rationale for prolonged periods of lactation and post partum sexual abstinence.- 5.3. The theoretical effects on fertility of breastfeeding and sexual abstinence.- 5.4. The simulation of Yoruba fertility.- 6. The Physiological Relationship between Fertility and Infant and Child Mortality.- 6.1. Introduction.- 6.2. The estimation of infant and child mortality.- 6.3. The effect of infant and child mortality on fertility.- 7. The Effects on Fertility of Contraception and Family Size Ideals.- 7.1. Introduction.- 7.2. Models of the effect on fertility of the use of contraception.- 7.3. The simulation of Yoruba fertility incorporating family size ideals.
Series Title: Publications of the Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute (N.I.D.I.) and the Population and Family Study Centre (C.B.G.S.), v. 5.
Responsibility: by Gigi Santow.

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