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The theory that would not die : how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy

Author: Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
Publisher: New Haven [Connecticut] ; London : Yale University Press, [2012] ©2011
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. This is an account of Bayes' rule for general readers, exploring this theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it.
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Genre/Form: History
Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Sharon Bertsch McGrayne
ISBN: 9780300188226 0300188226
OCLC Number: 794136245
Notes: Originally published: 2011.
"August 2012"--Preface of paperback edition.
Description: xvi, 336 pages ; 24 cm
Contents: pt. 1. Enlightenment and the anti-Bayesian reaction --
Causes in the air --
The man who did everything --
Many doubts, few defenders --
pt. 2. Second World War era --
Bayes goes to war --
Dead and buried again --
pt. 3. The glorious revival --
Arthur Bailey --
From tool to theology --
Jerome Cornfield, lung cancer, and heart attacks --
There's always a first time --
46,656 varieties --
pt. 4. To prove its worth --
Business decisions --
Who wrote The Federalist? --
The cold warrior --
Three Mile Island --
The Navy searches --
pt. 5. Victory --
Eureka! --
Rosetta stones --
Appendixes --
Dr. Fisher's casebook --
Applying Bayes' Rule.
Responsibility: Sharon Bertsch McGrayne.

Abstract:

Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, this book offers an account of Bayes' rule for general readers, It traces its discovery by an amateur  Read more...

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"'An engrossing study... Her book is a compelling and entertaining fusion of history, theory and biography.' (Ian Critchley, Sunday Times) 'The Theory That Would Not Die is the first popular science Read more...

 
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