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Uncertainity : a guide to dealing with uncertainity in quantitative risk and policy analysis

Author: Millet Granger Morgan; Max Henrion; Mitchell Small
Publisher: Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 1990.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:

This book explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis.

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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Millet Granger Morgan; Max Henrion; Mitchell Small
ISBN: 0521365422 9780521365420 0521427444 9780521427449
OCLC Number: 439747688
Description: XII, 332 str. : graf. prikazi
Contents: Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment; 8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you know; Index.
Responsibility: M. Granger Morgan and Max Henrion ; with a charpter by Mitchell Small.

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'This book is a significant contribution to the exploration of the basic issues and constitutes an important addition to the technical literature addressing uncertainty.' Joseph Fragola, IEEE Read more...

 
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