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Votes, Parties, and Seats : a Quantitative Analysis of Indian Parliamentary Elections, 1962-2014.

Author: Vani Kant Borooah
Publisher: Cham : Springer International Publishing, 2016.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
Database:WorldCat
Summary:
"This starkly lucid and timely book absorbs the nuances of the largest festival - the elections - of the world's largest democracy. Hailing from a political family, the author conveys his passion and knowledge on the intricacies, as well as the heat and dust of his national fête. All data and events have been methodically examined in this absorbing analytical work which is an indispensable and scholarly book on the  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Borooah, Vani Kant.
Votes, Parties, and Seats : A Quantitative Analysis of Indian Parliamentary Elections, 1962-2014.
Cham : Springer International Publishing, ©2016
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Vani Kant Borooah
ISBN: 9783319304878 3319304879
OCLC Number: 952248214
Description: 1 online resource (173 pages)
Contents: Dedication; Preface; Contents; List of Figures; List of Tables; Chapter 1: Introduction; 1.1 The Rise of the BJP; 1.2 Political Instability during the 1990s; 1.3 The Rise of the Lower Castes; 1.4 Democracy and Secularism; 1.5 Democracy and National Unity; Notes; References; Chapter 2: The Anatomy of Indian Parliamentary Elections; 2.1 Introduction; 2.2 The Election Commission of India; 2.3 India's Political Parties; 2.4 Electorates and Turnout; 2.5 Independent Candidates and 'None of the Above'; 2.5.1 None of the Above; 2.6 Candidates with Criminal Histories or Who Face Criminal Charges. 2.7 Concluding RemarksNotes; References; Chapter 3: Estimating the Likelihood of Winning Parliamentary Constituencies; 3.1 Introduction; 3.2 Marginal Constituencies; 3.3 The Likelihood of Winning Marginal Seats; 3.3.1 Election-on-Election Changes in the Probability of Winning Marginal Constituencies; 3.3.2 Incumbency Effects; 3.3.3 Number of Candidates, Turnout, and Vote Share; 3.4 The Electoral Performance of the INC and the BJP Compared; 3.4.1 Econometric Methodology; 3.5 Hindi-Speaking Versus Non-Hindi-Speaking States; 3.6 Concluding Remarks; Notes; References. Chapter 4: Incumbents, Challengers, and Electoral Risk4.1 Introduction; 4.2 Bayes' Theorem and the 'Incumbency Effect'; 4.2.1 The 'Bayes Factor' and the 'Inverse Bayes Factor'; 4.2.2 The Inverse Bayes Factor; 4.3 Risk Ratio and Bayes Factor Calculations for Lok Sabha Elections; 4.4 The Inverse Risk Ratio and the Inverse Bayes Factor Calculations for Lok Sabha Elections; 4.5 Concluding Remarks; Notes; References; Chapter 5: Analysis of Vote Shares; 5.1 Introduction; 5.2 Estimating Vote Shares; 5.2.1 Predictive Performance of the SURE Model; 5.3 Incumbent and Challenger Vote Shares. 5.4 Vote Shares in Hindi-Speaking and Non-Hindi-Speaking States5.5 Concluding Remarks; Notes; Reference; Chapter 6: The Relationship Between Votes and Seats; 6.1 Introduction; 6.2 The Electoral Fortunes of the INC and the BJP; 6.3 The 'Amplification Coefficient' and the Law of the Cubic Proportion; 6.4 Calculating the Amplification Coefficient for the INC and the BJP; 6.5 Hindi-Speaking States; 6.6 Concluding Remarks; Notes; References; Chapter 7: The Concentration and Distribution of Votes; 7.1 Introduction; 7.2 Where the Votes Come from: The Concentration of Votes by State. 7.2.1 The Effective Number of States7.3 Inequality in the Inter-Constituency Distribution of Party Vote Shares; 7.4 The Decomposition of Inequality in Vote Shares; 7.5 The Effect of the Distribution of Votes on the Number of Seats Won; 7.5.1 Simulation A: The Equal Distribution of Votes; 7.5.2 Simulation B: Equal Number of Votes Received; 7.6 Concluding Remarks; Notes; References; Chapter 8: Conclusions; Reference; Index.

Abstract:

"This starkly lucid and timely book absorbs the nuances of the largest festival - the elections - of the world's largest democracy. Hailing from a political family, the author conveys his passion and knowledge on the intricacies, as well as the heat and dust of his national fête. All data and events have been methodically examined in this absorbing analytical work which is an indispensable and scholarly book on the Indian elections."--Thankom Arun, Professor at the University of Essex, UK This book provides a quantitative analysis of eight elections and an insight into voting patterns, detailing the election result for each candidate, for all the constituencies, in every Lok Sabha (the lower house of India's Bicameral-Parliament) general election from 1962 to 2014. The central purpose of this interrogation of data is to give shape to the notion of 'electoral efficiency', or the capacity of a part to convert votes into parliamentary seats. Parliamentary elections in India - and also elections to its state assemblies - are conducted under the First Past the Post (FPTP) system whereby a single representative for each of the 543 constituencies is elected as a Member of the Lok Sabha, on the basis of obtaining the largest number of all the candidates contesting that constituency. In brief, Votes, Parties, and Seats provides an in-depth study of the results of parliamentary general elections in India, and sheds light on why some parties are more efficient than others.

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