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Advances in decision analysis : from foundations to applications

Author: Ward Edwards; Ralph F Miles; Detlof Von Winterfeldt
Publisher: Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, ©2007.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Decision analysis is a prescriptive theory that aids individuals or groups confronted with complex problems in a wide variety of contexts. By framing issues, identifying risks, eliciting stakeholder preferences, and suggesting alternative approaches, decision analysts can offer workable solutions in domains such as the environment, health and medicine, engineering and operations research, and public policy. This  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Advances in decision analysis.
Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, ©2007
(DLC) 2006025610
(OCoLC)70877901
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Ward Edwards; Ralph F Miles; Detlof Von Winterfeldt
ISBN: 9780511342776 0511342772 9780511341144 0511341148 9780511611308 0511611307 9780511342240 0511342241 9786611085353 6611085351
OCLC Number: 185034551
Description: 1 online resource (xv, 623 pages) : illustrations
Contents: The emergence of decision analysis / Ralph F. Miles, Jr. --
The foundations of decision analysis revisited / Ronald A. Howard --
Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved / Howard Raiffa --
Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research / Lawrence D. Phillips and Detlof von Winterfeldt --
Defining a decision analytic structure / Detlof von Winterfeldt and Ward Edwards --
Developing objectives and attributes / Ralph L. Keeney --
Eliciting probabilities from experts / Stephen C. Hora --
Aggregating probability distributions / Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler --
Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams / Ross D. Shachter --
A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks / David Heckerman --
Utility and risk preferences / David E. Bell --
Practical value models --
Ralph L. Keeney and Detlof von Winterfeldt --
Extensions of the subjective expected utility model / Robert F. Nau --
Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems / Vicki M. Bier and Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. --
The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications / M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell --
Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making / Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. --
What have we learned from our mistakes? / Barbara Mellers and Connson Locke --
Decision conferencing / Lawrence D. Phillips --
Resource allocation decisions / Don N. Kleinmuntz --
From decision analysis to the decision organization / David Matheson and James E. Matheson --
Building decision competency in organizations / Carl S. Spetzler --
Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games / James K. Sebenius --
The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia / John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, and Vladimir I. Oussanov --
Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis / Detlof von Winterfeldt --
Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process / Dennis M. Buede and Terry A. Bresnick --
Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies / Phillip C. Beccue and Jeffrey S. Stonebraker --
Perspective on decision analysis applications / Donald L. Keefer, Craig W. Kirkwood, and James L. Corner.
Responsibility: edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph F. Miles, Jr., Detlof von Winterfeldt.
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Abstract:

Decision analysts offer workable solutions in domains such as the environment, health and medicine, engineering and operations research, and public policy. This book reviews and extends material  Read more...

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Miles<\/span>\n\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:datePublished<\/a> \"2007<\/span>\" ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:description<\/a> \"The emergence of decision analysis \/ Ralph F. Miles, Jr. -- The foundations of decision analysis revisited \/ Ronald A. Howard -- Decision analysis : a personal account of how it got started and evolved \/ Howard Raiffa -- Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards to decision analysis and behavioral research \/ Lawrence D. Phillips and Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Defining a decision analytic structure \/ Detlof von Winterfeldt and Ward Edwards -- Developing objectives and attributes \/ Ralph L. Keeney -- Eliciting probabilities from experts \/ Stephen C. Hora -- Aggregating probability distributions \/ Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler -- Model building with belief networks and influence diagrams \/ Ross D. Shachter -- A Bayesian approach to learning causal networks \/ David Heckerman -- Utility and risk preferences \/ David E. Bell -- Practical value models -- Ralph L. Keeney and Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Extensions of the subjective expected utility model \/ Robert F. Nau -- Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems \/ Vicki M. Bier and Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- The engineering risk-analysis method and some applications \/ M. Elisabeth Pat\u00E9-Cornell -- Health risk analysis for risk-management decision-making \/ Louis Anthony Cox, Jr. -- What have we learned from our mistakes? \/ Barbara Mellers and Connson Locke -- Decision conferencing \/ Lawrence D. Phillips -- Resource allocation decisions \/ Don N. Kleinmuntz -- From decision analysis to the decision organization \/ David Matheson and James E. Matheson -- Building decision competency in organizations \/ Carl S. Spetzler -- Negotiation analysis : between decisions and games \/ James K. Sebenius -- The adoption of multiattribute utility theory for the evaluation of plutonium disposition options in the United States and Russia \/ John C. Butler, Alexander N. Chebeskov, James S. Dyer, Thomas A. Edmunds, Jianmin Jia, and Vladimir I. Oussanov -- Choosing a tritium supply technology for nuclear weapons : reflections on a controversial decision analysis \/ Detlof von Winterfeldt -- Applications of decision analysis to the military systems acquisition process \/ Dennis M. Buede and Terry A. Bresnick -- Balancing environmental and operational objectives in nuclear refueling strategies \/ Phillip C. Beccue and Jeffrey S. Stonebraker -- Perspective on decision analysis applications \/ Donald L. Keefer, Craig W. Kirkwood, and James L. Corner.<\/span>\"@en<\/a> ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:description<\/a> \"Decision analysis is a prescriptive theory that aids individuals or groups confronted with complex problems in a wide variety of contexts. 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<http:\/\/experiment.worldcat.org\/entity\/work\/data\/802711105#Topic\/theorie_de_la_decision<\/a>> # Th\u00E9orie de la d\u00E9cision<\/span>\n\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0a \nschema:Intangible<\/a> ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:name<\/a> \"Th\u00E9orie de la d\u00E9cision<\/span>\"@fr<\/a> ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0.\n\n\n<\/div>\n
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<http:\/\/viaf.org\/viaf\/2577761<\/a>> # Detlof Von Winterfeldt<\/span>\n\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0a \nschema:Person<\/a> ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:familyName<\/a> \"Von Winterfeldt<\/span>\" ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:givenName<\/a> \"Detlof<\/span>\" ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:name<\/a> \"Detlof Von Winterfeldt<\/span>\" ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0.\n\n\n<\/div>\n
<http:\/\/viaf.org\/viaf\/75231653<\/a>> # Ralph F. Miles<\/span>\n\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0a \nschema:Person<\/a> ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:birthDate<\/a> \"1933<\/span>\" ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:familyName<\/a> \"Miles<\/span>\" ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:givenName<\/a> \"Ralph F.<\/span>\" ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\nschema:name<\/a> \"Ralph F. Miles<\/span>\" ;\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\u00A0.\n\n\n<\/div>\n
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