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The book of why : the new science of cause and effect

Author: Judea Pearl; Dana Mackenzie
Publisher: [London] UK : Allen Lane, an imprint of Penguin Books, 2018. ©2018
Edition/Format:   Print book : English : First editionView all editions and formats
Summary:
“'Correlation does not imply causation.' This mantra was invoked by scientists for decades in order to avoid taking positions as to whether one thing caused another, such as smoking and cancer and carbon dioxide and global warming. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by world-renowned computer scientist Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed cause
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Additional Physical Format: ebook version :
Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Judea Pearl; Dana Mackenzie
ISBN: 9780241242636 0241242630
OCLC Number: 1009246874
Notes: "First published in the United States of America by Basic Books ... 2018"--Title page verso.
Description: x, 418 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm
Contents: Introduction. Mind over data --
The ladder of causation --
From buccaneers to guinea pigs: the genesis of causal inference --
From evidence to causes: Reverend Bayes meets Mr. Holmes --
Confounding and deconfounding: or, slaying the lurking variable --
The smoke-filled debate: clearing the air --
Paradoxes galore! --
Beyond adjustment: the conquest of Mount Intervention --
Counterfactuals: mining worlds that could have been --
Mediation: the search for a mechanism --
Big data, artificial intelligence, and the big questions.
Responsibility: Judea Pearl and Dana Mackenzie.

Abstract:

“'Correlation does not imply causation.' This mantra was invoked by scientists for decades in order to avoid taking positions as to whether one thing caused another, such as smoking and cancer and carbon dioxide and global warming. But today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, sparked by world-renowned computer scientist Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and placed cause and effect on a firm scientific basis. Now, Pearl and science journalist Dana Mackenzie explain causal thinking to general readers for the first time, showing how it allows us to explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It is the essence of human and artificial intelligence. And just as Pearl's discoveries have enabled machines to think better, The Book of Why explains how we can think better.”--Publisher’s description.

"Everyone has heard the claim, "Correlation does not imply causation." What might sound like a reasonable dictum metastasized in the twentieth century into one of science's biggest obstacles, as a legion of researchers became unwilling to make the claim that one thing could cause another. Even two decades ago, asking a statistician a question like "Was it the aspirin that stopped my headache?" would have been like asking if he believed in voodoo, or at best a topic for conversation at a cocktail party rather than a legitimate target of scientific inquiry. Scientists were allowed to posit only that the probability that one thing was associated with another. This all changed with Judea Pearl, whose work on causality was not just a victory for common sense, but a revolution in the study of the world"--Provided by publisher.

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Modern applications of AI, such as robotics, self-driving cars, speech recognition, and machine translation deal with uncertainty. Pearl has been instrumental in supplying the rationale and much Read more...

 
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