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Calculated risks : how to know when numbers deceive you

Author: Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher: New York : Simon & Schuster, ©2002.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Gigerenzer explains that a major obstacle to our understanding of numbers is that we live with an illusion of certainty. Many of us believe that HIV tests, DNA fingerprinting, and the growing number of genetic tests are absolutely certain. But even DNA evidence can produce spurious matches. We cling to our illusion of certainty because the medical industry, insurance companies, investment advisers, and election  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Statistics
Popular works
Ouvrages de vulgarisation
Additional Physical Format: Online version:
Gigerenzer, Gerd.
Calculated risks.
New York : Simon & Schuster, 2002
(OCoLC)664427413
Material Type: Internet resource
Document Type: Book, Internet Resource
All Authors / Contributors: Gerd Gigerenzer
ISBN: 0743205561 9780743205566 0743254236 9780743254236
OCLC Number: 49902187
Description: viii, 310 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm
Contents: pt. 1. Dare to know. 1. Uncertainty ; 2. The illusion of certainty ; 3. Innumeracy ; 4. Insight --
pt. 2. Understanding uncertainties in the real world. 5. Breast cancer screening ; 6. (Un)informed consent ; 7. AIDS counseling ; 8. Wife battering ; 9. Experts on trial ; 10. DNA fingerprinting ; 11. Violent people --
pt. 3. From innumeracy to insight. 12. How innumeracy can be exploited ; 13. Fun problems ; 14. Teaching clear thinking.
Responsibility: Gerd Gigerenzer.
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Abstract:

This eye-opening book takes up where "Innumeracy" leaves off and explains how our ignorance about numbers can jeopardize our health, our wealth, and our lives--and what we can do about it. 28 line  Read more...

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