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China's macroeconomic outlook : quarterly forecast and analysis report, February 2017

Author: Xiamen da xue. Center for Macroeconomic Research,
Publisher: Singapore : Springer, 2017. ©2017
Series: Current Chinese economic report series
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : English
Summary:
This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the "China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM)," a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM, the research team forecasts China's major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including GDP growth rate,  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Printed edition:
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Xiamen da xue. Center for Macroeconomic Research,
ISBN: 9789811061233 9811061238
OCLC Number: 1013507075
Description: 1 online resource (xvii, 65 pages).
Contents: ""Preface""; ""Acknowledgements""; ""Executive Summary""; ""Contents""; ""Contributors""; ""1 China Economic Performance in 2016""; ""1.1 Weak Investment and Decelerated Export Growth Increase the Contribution of Consumption to GDP Growth""; ""1.2 The Growth of Private Investment Dropped Significantly, and that of Fixed Assets Investment Continued to Fall""; ""1.3 RMB Devaluated Significantly, While the Growth of Trade Decelerated""; ""1.4 The Continued Slowdown of Residentsâ#x80;#x99; Real Income Growth Inhibited the Consumption Growth""; ""1.5 The CPI Rose Modestly and the Decline in PPI Narrowed"" ""1.6 Though the Monetary Policy Maintained Loose, Its Role of Boosting Investment Is Still Limited""""1.7 The Decline in the Growth of Fiscal Revenue Has Significantly Reduced the Growth of Fiscal Expenditure""; ""2 Quarterly Forecast for 2017â#x80;#x93;18""; ""2.1 Assumptions on Exogenous Variables""; ""2.1.1 Growth Rates of the United States and the Euro Area""; ""2.1.2 The Exchange Rates""; ""2.1.3 Growth Rate of the Broad Money Supply (M2)""; ""2.2 Quarterly Forecast of China Major Macroeconomic Indicators in 2017â#x80;#x93;18""; ""2.2.1 GDP Growth Rates""; ""2.2.2 Major Prices Indices"" ""2.3 Growth Rates of Other Major Macroeconomic Indicators""""2.3.1 Growth Rates of Exports, Imports, and Foreign Exchange Reserves""; ""2.3.2 Growth Rates of FAI""; ""2.3.3 Growth Rates of Consumption""; ""3 Policy Simulation: Effects of Rebalancing the Chinese Economy""; ""3.1 Background""; ""3.2 Model Settings""; ""3.2.1 Production Function""; ""3.2.2 Conduction Mechanism Diagram""; ""3.3 Simulation Scenarios Planning""; ""3.4 Simulation Results""; ""3.4.1 Scenario I: Consumption Structure Transformation and Upgrading"" ""3.4.2 Scenario II: Combined Effects of the Mixed Ownership Reform and Deleveraging""""3.5 Conclusion""; ""4 Policy Implications and Suggestions""; ""5 Comments and Discussions""; ""5.1 Macroeconomic Policy Should not Be a New Bottle Filled with Old Wine""; ""5.2 China's Economic Growth Will Reach a Turning Point""; ""5.3 The Global Economy Faces Three Main Issues""; ""5.4 China's Slowdown in Economic Growth Is Inevitable""; ""5.5 Manufacturing Will Usher in a â#x80;#x9C;Small Revolutionâ#x80;#x9D;""; ""5.6 Key Policies to Be Implemented as China Moves Towards High-Income Economies""
Series Title: Current Chinese economic report series
Responsibility: Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University.

Abstract:

It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the "China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM)," a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University.

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