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Decision analysis : an integrated approach

Author: Andrew Lang Golub
Publisher: New York : Wiley, ©1997.
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Decision analysis integrates insights and techniques from economics, probability, and cognitive psychology for the purpose of making good decisions. This book presents practical advice for decision making in all these contexts. It offers step-by-step procedures for defining the problem, identifying objectives, identifying alternatives, forecasting each alternative's potential, comparing forecasts, and choosing the  Read more...
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Additional Physical Format: Online version:
Golub, Andrew Lang.
Decision analysis.
New York : Wiley, ©1997
(OCoLC)647578036
Material Type: Internet resource
Document Type: Book, Internet Resource
All Authors / Contributors: Andrew Lang Golub
ISBN: 047115511X 9780471155119
OCLC Number: 35235077
Description: xi, 235 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm
Contents: Ch. 0. The context of decision making --
Ch. 1-A. Problem definition and structuring --
Ch. 1-B. Common decision structures --
Ch. 1-C. Solving decision problems by maximizing EMV --
Ch. 2. Identifying objectives and creating a value tree --
Ch. 3. Identifying alternatives and creativity --
Ch. 4. Forecasting and subjective assessment --
Ch. 5. Comparing alternatives and utility theory --
Ch. 6. Selection and sensivity analysis --
Appendix A. A guide to DPL --
Appendix B. Using a spreadsheet for decision analysis --
Appendix C. Probability review --
Appendix D. Time value of money --
Appendix E. Outline for a decision recommendation.
Responsibility: Andrew Lang Golub.
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Abstract:

A practical, non--calculus--based book on decision analysis for business and public policy. It includes a balanced presentation of quantitative and qualitative techniques, and integrates the use of a  Read more...

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