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Economic sensitivity and risk analysis for small-scale wood pellet systems : an example from Southeast Alaska

Author: David L Nicholls; Pacific Northwest Research Station (Portland, Or.),
Publisher: Portland, OR : U.S. Department of Agriculture, Pacific Northwest Research Station, August 2017.
Series: General technical report PNW, 959.
Edition/Format:   Print book : National government publication : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
This research models a wood pellet heating system at the Tlingit-Haida Regional Housing Authority in Juneau, Alaska, used to provide thermal energy to a 929-M2 warehouse, as an alternative to a heating system that burns more costly fossil fuels. Research objectives were to evaluate project economics of the pellet system and to conduct cost:benefit analysis on key variables (initial capital cost, fuel oil cost, and  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Case studies
Additional Physical Format: Online version:
Nicholls, David L.
Economic sensitivity and risk analysis for small-scale wood pellet systems--an example from southeast Alaska
(OCoLC)1017097645
Material Type: Government publication, National government publication
Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: David L Nicholls; Pacific Northwest Research Station (Portland, Or.),
OCLC Number: 1006384524
Notes: Cover title.
Print format not distributed to depository libraries.
Description: 19 pages : color illustration ; 28 cm.
Series Title: General technical report PNW, 959.
Responsibility: David L. Nicholls.

Abstract:

This research models a wood pellet heating system at the Tlingit-Haida Regional Housing Authority in Juneau, Alaska, used to provide thermal energy to a 929-M2 warehouse, as an alternative to a heating system that burns more costly fossil fuels. Research objectives were to evaluate project economics of the pellet system and to conduct cost:benefit analysis on key variables (initial capital cost, fuel oil cost, and wood pellet cost). Economic results of interest included net present value, payback, internal rate of return, and cost:benefit ratio. Monte Carlo simulations were conducted using RETScreen software with the parameters of heating oil cost, wood pellet cost, fuel price escalation, and heating load. Cost:benefit analysis was conducted for capital cost versus wood fuel cost and also versus alternative fuel cost. This research found that economic performance was favorable over a wide range of normal operation conditions, even when paying a relatively high price for wood fuel. A pellet production facility in southeast Alaska could lead to lower wood fuel costs and even more favorable regional economics.

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