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An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Jordanian Economy

Author: Tigran Poghosyan; Samya Beidas-Strom
Publisher: Washington : International Monetary Fund Feb. 2011.
Series: IMF working paper, Working Paper No. 11/28.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
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Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Tigran Poghosyan; Samya Beidas-Strom
ISBN: 9781455216758 1455216755 1455216828 9781455216826
OCLC Number: 1077385668
Description: 1 online resource (25 p.)
Series Title: IMF working paper, Working Paper No. 11/28.

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This paper presents and estimates a small open economy dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model (DSGE) for the Jordanian economy. the model features nominal and real rigidities, imperfect competition and habit formation in the consumer's utility function. Oil imports are explicitly modeled in the consumption basket and domestic production. Bayesian estimation methods are employed on quarterly Jordanian data. the model's properties are described by impulse response analysis of identified structural shocks pertinent to the economy. These properties assess the effectiveness of the pegged exchange rate regime in minimizing inflation and output trade-offs. the estimates of the structural parameters fall within plausible ranges, and simulation results suggest that while the peg amplifies output, consumption and (price and wage) inflation volatility, it offers a relatively low risk premium.

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