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Export chip prices as a proxy for nonsawtimber prices in the Pacific Northwest

Author: Gwenlyn M Busby; Pacific Northwest Research Station (Portland, Or.)
Publisher: Portland, OR : U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, [2006]
Series: Research note PNW, 554.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : National government publication : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Forest-land managers use price data and market analysis to form expectations and make informed management decisions. There is an abundance of price data for sawtimber, but for nonsawtimber, the availability of price data is limited. This constrains the ability of forest-land managers to form reasonable price expectations for stands that contain both sawtimber and nonsawtimber. In this paper, I show that export chip  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Internet resource
Additional Physical Format: Busby, Gwenlyn M.
Export chip prices as a proxy for nonsawtimber prices in the Pacific Northwest
14 p.
(OCoLC)82368209
Material Type: Document, Government publication, National government publication, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Gwenlyn M Busby; Pacific Northwest Research Station (Portland, Or.)
OCLC Number: 122940522
Notes: Title from title screen (viewed on Apr. 11, 2007).
"December 2006."
Description: 1 online resource (14 pages)
Series Title: Research note PNW, 554.
Responsibility: Gwenlyn M. Busby.
More information:

Abstract:

Forest-land managers use price data and market analysis to form expectations and make informed management decisions. There is an abundance of price data for sawtimber, but for nonsawtimber, the availability of price data is limited. This constrains the ability of forest-land managers to form reasonable price expectations for stands that contain both sawtimber and nonsawtimber. In this paper, I show that export chip prices are a reasonable proxy for nonsawtimber prices in the Pacific Northwest. This conclusion is supported by evidence of arbitrage between the chip export market and three domestic markets in the Pacific Northwest. As to the chip export market in general, I observed increasing chip prices from 1968 through 1995, a structural break in 1995 after which point we observe declining prices. I also found evidence of an inverse relationship between chip price and lumber production.

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