skip to content
The impact of legalized abortion on crime over the last two decades Preview this item
ClosePreview this item
Checking...

The impact of legalized abortion on crime over the last two decades

Author: John J Donohue, III; Steven D Levitt; National Bureau of Economic Research,
Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, 2019.
Series: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research), no. 25863.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
Donohue and Levitt (2001) presented evidence that the legalization of abortion in the early 1970s played an important role in the crime drop of the 1990s. That paper concluded with a strong out-of-sample prediction regarding the next two decades: “When a steady state is reached roughly twenty years from now, the impact of abortion will be roughly twice as great as the impact felt so far. Our results suggest that all  Read more...
Rating:

(not yet rated) 0 with reviews - Be the first.

Subjects
More like this

Find a copy online

Links to this item

Find a copy in the library

&AllPage.SpinnerRetrieving; Finding libraries that hold this item...

Details

Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: John J Donohue, III; Steven D Levitt; National Bureau of Economic Research,
OCLC Number: 1101969914
Notes: "May 2019"
Description: 1 online resource (30 pages) : illustrations.
Series Title: Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research), no. 25863.
Responsibility: John J. Donohue, Steven D. Levitt.

Abstract:

Donohue and Levitt (2001) presented evidence that the legalization of abortion in the early 1970s played an important role in the crime drop of the 1990s. That paper concluded with a strong out-of-sample prediction regarding the next two decades: “When a steady state is reached roughly twenty years from now, the impact of abortion will be roughly twice as great as the impact felt so far. Our results suggest that all else equal, legalized abortion will account for persistent declines of 1 percent a year in crime over the next two decades.” Estimating parallel specifications to the original paper, but using the seventeen years of data generated after that paper was written, we find strong support for the prediction. The estimated coefficient on legalized abortion is actually larger in the latter period than it was in the initial dataset in almost all specifications. We estimate that crime fell roughly 20% between 1997 and 2014 due to legalized abortion. The cumulative impact of legalized abortion on crime is roughly 45%, accounting for a very substantial portion of the roughly 50-55% overall decline from the peak of crime in the early 1990s.

Reviews

User-contributed reviews
Retrieving GoodReads reviews...
Retrieving DOGObooks reviews...

Tags

Be the first.
Confirm this request

You may have already requested this item. Please select Ok if you would like to proceed with this request anyway.

Linked Data


Primary Entity

<http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/1101969914> # The impact of legalized abortion on crime over the last two decades
    a schema:CreativeWork, schema:MediaObject, schema:Book ;
    library:oclcnum "1101969914" ;
    library:placeOfPublication <http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/countries/mau> ;
    schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Place/united_states> ; # United States.
    schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/criminal_statistics> ; # Criminal statistics
    schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/abortion_social_aspects> ; # Abortion--Social aspects
    schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/abortion_law_and_legislation_social_aspects_united_states> ; # Abortion--Law and legislation--Social aspects--United States
    schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/criminal_statistics_united_states> ; # Criminal statistics--United States
    schema:about <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/abortion_social_aspects_united_states> ; # Abortion--Social aspects--United States
    schema:author <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Person/levitt_steven_d> ; # Steven D. Levitt
    schema:author <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Person/donohue_john_j_iii_1953> ; # III John J. Donohue
    schema:bookFormat schema:EBook ;
    schema:datePublished "2019" ;
    schema:description "Donohue and Levitt (2001) presented evidence that the legalization of abortion in the early 1970s played an important role in the crime drop of the 1990s. That paper concluded with a strong out-of-sample prediction regarding the next two decades: “When a steady state is reached roughly twenty years from now, the impact of abortion will be roughly twice as great as the impact felt so far. Our results suggest that all else equal, legalized abortion will account for persistent declines of 1 percent a year in crime over the next two decades.” Estimating parallel specifications to the original paper, but using the seventeen years of data generated after that paper was written, we find strong support for the prediction. The estimated coefficient on legalized abortion is actually larger in the latter period than it was in the initial dataset in almost all specifications. We estimate that crime fell roughly 20% between 1997 and 2014 due to legalized abortion. The cumulative impact of legalized abortion on crime is roughly 45%, accounting for a very substantial portion of the roughly 50-55% overall decline from the peak of crime in the early 1990s."@en ;
    schema:exampleOfWork <http://worldcat.org/entity/work/id/9130898699> ;
    schema:inLanguage "en" ;
    schema:isPartOf <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Series/nber_working_paper_series> ; # NBER working paper series ;
    schema:isPartOf <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Series/working_paper_series_national_bureau_of_economic_research> ; # Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ;
    schema:name "The impact of legalized abortion on crime over the last two decades"@en ;
    schema:productID "1101969914" ;
    schema:publisher <http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Organization/national_bureau_of_economic_research> ; # National Bureau of Economic Research,
    schema:url <http://www.nber.org/papers/w25863> ;
    wdrs:describedby <http://www.worldcat.org/title/-/oclc/1101969914> ;
    .


Related Entities

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Organization/national_bureau_of_economic_research> # National Bureau of Economic Research,
    a schema:Organization ;
    schema:name "National Bureau of Economic Research," ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Person/donohue_john_j_iii_1953> # III John J. Donohue
    a schema:Person ;
    schema:birthDate "1953" ;
    schema:familyName "Donohue" ;
    schema:givenName "John J." ;
    schema:name "III John J. Donohue" ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Person/levitt_steven_d> # Steven D. Levitt
    a schema:Person ;
    schema:familyName "Levitt" ;
    schema:givenName "Steven D." ;
    schema:name "Steven D. Levitt" ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Place/united_states> # United States.
    a schema:Place ;
    schema:name "United States." ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Series/nber_working_paper_series> # NBER working paper series ;
    a bgn:PublicationSeries ;
    schema:hasPart <http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/1101969914> ; # The impact of legalized abortion on crime over the last two decades
    schema:name "NBER working paper series ;" ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Series/working_paper_series_national_bureau_of_economic_research> # Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ;
    a bgn:PublicationSeries ;
    schema:hasPart <http://www.worldcat.org/oclc/1101969914> ; # The impact of legalized abortion on crime over the last two decades
    schema:name "Working paper series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ;" ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/abortion_law_and_legislation_social_aspects_united_states> # Abortion--Law and legislation--Social aspects--United States
    a schema:Intangible ;
    schema:name "Abortion--Law and legislation--Social aspects--United States"@en ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/abortion_social_aspects> # Abortion--Social aspects
    a schema:Intangible ;
    schema:name "Abortion--Social aspects"@en ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/abortion_social_aspects_united_states> # Abortion--Social aspects--United States
    a schema:Intangible ;
    schema:name "Abortion--Social aspects--United States"@en ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/criminal_statistics> # Criminal statistics
    a schema:Intangible ;
    schema:name "Criminal statistics"@en ;
    .

<http://experiment.worldcat.org/entity/work/data/9130898699#Topic/criminal_statistics_united_states> # Criminal statistics--United States
    a schema:Intangible ;
    schema:name "Criminal statistics--United States"@en ;
    .


Content-negotiable representations

Close Window

Please sign in to WorldCat 

Don't have an account? You can easily create a free account.