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Intelligence analysis as discovery of evidence, hypotheses, and arguments : connecting the dots

Author: Gheorghe Tecuci; David A Schum; Dorin Marcu; Mihai Boicu, (Infomation scientist)
Publisher: New York NY : Cambridge University, [2016] ©2016
Edition/Format:   Print book : EnglishView all editions and formats
Summary:
This unique book on intelligence analysis covers several vital but often overlooked topics. It teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence: from observations we make, or questions we ask, we generate alternative hypotheses as explanations or answers; we make use of our hypotheses to generate new lines of inquiry  Read more...
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Document Type: Book
All Authors / Contributors: Gheorghe Tecuci; David A Schum; Dorin Marcu; Mihai Boicu, (Infomation scientist)
ISBN: 9781107122604 1107122600
OCLC Number: 927619596
Description: xxii, 262 pages : illustrations ; 27 cm
Contents: Intelligence analysis : "connecting the dots" --
Marshaling thoughts and evidence for imaginative analysis --
Discipline-CD : a cognitive assistant for connecting the dots --
Evidence --
Divide and conquer : a necessary approach to complex analysis --
Assessing the believability of evidence --
Chains of custody --
Recurrent substance-blind combinations of evidence --
Major sources of uncertainty in masses of evidence --
Assessing and reporting uncertainty : some alternative methods --
Analytic bias --
Learning and reusing analytic expertise : beyond Discipline-CD.
Responsibility: Gheorghe Tecuci, George Mason University, David A. Schum, George Mason University, Dorin Marcu, George Mason University, Mihai Boicu, George Mason University.

Abstract:

This book teaches the evidential and inferential issues involved in 'connecting the dots' to draw defensible and persuasive conclusions from masses of evidence, providing a hands-on learning  Read more...

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'Intelligence Analysis as Discovery of Evidence, Hypotheses, and Arguments is a valuable resource for those interested in improving intelligence analysis. It provides both prospective and current Read more...

 
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