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Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in Oil-Exporting Countries.

Author: Amir Sadeghi
Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Series: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper, no. 17/287.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : English
Summary:
This paper examines the impact of government size on how output and government expenditure respond to oil price shocks in 28 oil-exporting countries between 1990 and 2016. Results suggest that if the size of government (measured by government expenditure-to-(non-oil) GDP ratio) is larger, non-oil output growth, in response to a positive oil price shock, tends to be greater and output volatility higher. Furthermore,  Read more...
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Sadeghi, Amir.
Oil Price Shocks and Economic Growth in Oil-Exporting Countries.
Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2017
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Amir Sadeghi
ISBN: 9781484336298 1484336291 1484335392 9781484335390
OCLC Number: 1020029173
Description: 1 online resource (28 pages).
Contents: Cover; CONTENT; I. Introduction; II. The empirical model; III. Estimation; IV. Results; V. Conclusion; FIGURES; 1. Oil Price Developments and Non-Oil Growth in the Sample Oil-Exporting Countries, 1990-2016; 2. Oil Price Developments and Non-Oil Growth in the Sample Oil-Exporting Countries, Small vs. Large Governments; 3. Impulse Response of Government Spending and Non-Oil Output to a Unit Oil Price Shock; 4. Cumulative Impulse Response of Government Spending and Non-Oil Output to a Unit Oil Price Shock; TABLES; 1. Cut Points for each Type of Government Expenditure. 2. The Difference in Cumulative Impulse Response to a Unit Oil Price Shock,3. Non-Oil Output Variance Decomposition Attributable to Disturbances in Oil Price (%); APPENDICES; I: Data; II: Impulse Responses; References.
Series Title: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper, no. 17/287.

Abstract:

This paper examines the impact of government size on how output and government expenditure respond to oil price shocks in 28 oil-exporting countries between 1990 and 2016. Results suggest that if the size of government (measured by government expenditure-to-(non-oil) GDP ratio) is larger, non-oil output growth, in response to a positive oil price shock, tends to be greater and output volatility higher. Furthermore, I find that an unexpected increase in oil price leads to expansion in government expenditure and the expansion is larger, the larger is the government. This paper provides empirical evidence for direct correlation between government size and macroecnomic stability in oil-exporting countries. The findings imply that fiscal consolidation and economic diversification help to narrow down economic exposure to exogenous oil price shocks and reduce volatility in non-oil output.

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