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Oil Prices and the Global Economy.

Author: Kamiar Mohaddes; M Hashem Pesaran
Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Edition/Format:   eBook : Document : EnglishView all editions and formats
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Genre/Form: Electronic books
Additional Physical Format: Print version:
Mohaddes, Kamiar.
Oil Prices and the Global Economy.
Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2016
Material Type: Document, Internet resource
Document Type: Internet Resource, Computer File
All Authors / Contributors: Kamiar Mohaddes; M Hashem Pesaran
ISBN: 1484315146 9781484315149
OCLC Number: 1001383707
Description: 1 online resource (29 pages)
Contents: Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Analyzing the oil market using a multi-country model; A. The GVAR-Oil model; B. Effects of a fall in oil prices; III. Analyzing oil price changes using monthly data; A. Has the relationship between real oil and equity prices been stable over time?; B. Are lower oil prices beneficial for the U.S. and the world economy?; IV. How do global oil supplies respond to lower oil prices?; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Figures; 1. Nominal and Real (2015 U.S. dollars) WTI Oil Prices. 2. Effects of Lower Oil Prices on Global Real Equity Prices, Long-Term Interest Rates, and Real GDP3. Effects of Lower Oil Prices on Long-Term Interest Rates in Various Countries; 4. Effects of Lower Oil Prices on Inflation in Various Countries; 5. Effects of Lower Oil Prices on Real GDP in Various Countries; 6. U.S. Oil Production (1000 barrels/day); 7. Real Oil Prices and Real US Equity Prices (S & P 500), 1946M1-2016M3; 8. Rolling Estimates of the Effects of Changes in Oil Prices on Equity Prices; 9. Real Oil Prices and Real Dividends (S & P 500), 1946M1-2016M3. 10. Rolling Estimates of the Effects of Changes in Oil Prices on Real Dividends11. Monthly Oil Production for Iran, Iraq, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the US (1000 barrels/day); Tables; 1. Countries and Regions in the GVAR-Oil Model; 2. Correlations between Changes in Real Oil Prices, Equity Prices and Dividends; 3. Estimates of the Long-run Coefficients of Real Oil Prices based on Various ARDL Regressions and Sub-samples, 1970M1-2016M4.

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